Stock Analysis

Returns On Capital Signal Tricky Times Ahead For Ero Copper (TSE:ERO)

TSX:ERO
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If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. Having said that, from a first glance at Ero Copper (TSE:ERO) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.

What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on Ero Copper is:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.062 = US$83m ÷ (US$1.5b - US$159m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

So, Ero Copper has an ROCE of 6.2%. In absolute terms, that's a low return, but it's much better than the Metals and Mining industry average of 1.0%.

Check out our latest analysis for Ero Copper

roce
TSX:ERO Return on Capital Employed July 17th 2024

In the above chart we have measured Ero Copper's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for Ero Copper .

So How Is Ero Copper's ROCE Trending?

The trend of ROCE doesn't look fantastic because it's fallen from 21% five years ago, while the business's capital employed increased by 320%. That being said, Ero Copper raised some capital prior to their latest results being released, so that could partly explain the increase in capital employed. Ero Copper probably hasn't received a full year of earnings yet from the new funds it raised, so these figures should be taken with a grain of salt.

Our Take On Ero Copper's ROCE

In summary, Ero Copper is reinvesting funds back into the business for growth but unfortunately it looks like sales haven't increased much just yet. And investors may be recognizing these trends since the stock has only returned a total of 18% to shareholders over the last five years. As a result, if you're hunting for a multi-bagger, we think you'd have more luck elsewhere.

Since virtually every company faces some risks, it's worth knowing what they are, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Ero Copper (of which 1 is significant!) that you should know about.

For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Ero Copper might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.