It's not a stretch to say that Endeavour Mining plc's (TSE:EDV) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.4x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" for companies in the Metals and Mining industry in Canada, where the median P/S ratio is around 2.8x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
See our latest analysis for Endeavour Mining
What Does Endeavour Mining's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Recent times haven't been great for Endeavour Mining as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to lift, which has kept the P/S from declining. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Keen to find out how analysts think Endeavour Mining's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Endeavour Mining would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 6.0% last year. Revenue has also lifted 17% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been respectable for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 9.6% per annum as estimated by the eleven analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 23% each year, which is noticeably more attractive.
With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Endeavour Mining's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
What Does Endeavour Mining's P/S Mean For Investors?
While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
When you consider that Endeavour Mining's revenue growth estimates are fairly muted compared to the broader industry, it's easy to see why we consider it unexpected to be trading at its current P/S ratio. When we see companies with a relatively weaker revenue outlook compared to the industry, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/S lower. A positive change is needed in order to justify the current price-to-sales ratio.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Endeavour Mining you should be aware of, and 1 of them doesn't sit too well with us.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Endeavour Mining might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TSX:EDV
Adequate balance sheet and fair value.