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- TSX:CFF
Many Still Looking Away From Conifex Timber Inc. (TSE:CFF)
It's not a stretch to say that Conifex Timber Inc.'s (TSE:CFF) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" for companies in the Forestry industry in Canada, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.4x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
Check out our latest analysis for Conifex Timber
What Does Conifex Timber's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Recent times haven't been great for Conifex Timber as its revenue has been falling quicker than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to begin matching the rest of the industry, which has kept the P/S from declining. You'd much rather the company improve its revenue if you still believe in the business. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Conifex Timber.Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Conifex Timber?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Conifex Timber's to be considered reasonable.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 50%. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 24% overall rise in revenue. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would be roughly satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 23% during the coming year according to the one analyst following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 3.2% growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this information, we find it interesting that Conifex Timber is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.
The Bottom Line On Conifex Timber's P/S
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that Conifex Timber currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the wider industry. Perhaps uncertainty in the revenue forecasts are what's keeping the P/S ratio consistent with the rest of the industry. However, if you agree with the analysts' forecasts, you may be able to pick up the stock at an attractive price.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Conifex Timber (1 is a bit concerning) you should be aware of.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSX:CFF
Conifex Timber
Primarily manufactures and sells lumber products in the United States, Canada, Japan, and internationally.
Slightly overvalued with imperfect balance sheet.