Arizona Sonoran Copper Company Inc.

TSX:ASCU Stock Report

Market Cap: CA$183.0m

Arizona Sonoran Copper Valuation

Is ASCU undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Book vs Peers

  • Price-To-Book vs Industry

  • Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ASCU when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate ASCU's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate ASCU's fair value for valuation analysis.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ASCU?

Key metric: As ASCU is unprofitable and pre-revenue we use its Price-To-Book Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Book ratio for ASCU. This is calculated by dividing ASCU's market cap by their current book value.
What is ASCU's PB Ratio?
PB Ratio1.6x
BookUS$81.79m
Market CapUS$129.86m

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does ASCU's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for ASCU vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PBEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average7x
FDY Faraday Copper
4.3x-6.3%CA$184.8m
ALDE Aldebaran Resources
2.7xn/aCA$324.5m
III Imperial Metals
0.4xn/aCA$333.5m
KRY Koryx Copper
20.7xn/aCA$75.3m
ASCU Arizona Sonoran Copper
1.6x-31.2%CA$183.0m

Price-To-Book vs Peers: ASCU is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (1.6x) compared to the peer average (7x).

Price to Book Ratio vs Industry

How does ASCU's PB Ratio compare vs other companies in the CA Metals and Mining Industry?

88 CompaniesPrice / BookEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
S Sherritt International
0.1xn/aUS$50.76m
WM Wallbridge Mining
0.2xn/aUS$46.88m
NCU Nevada Copper
0.1xn/aUS$31.56m
VGCX Victoria Gold
0.06xn/aUS$24.21m
ASCU 1.6xIndustry Avg. 1.4xNo. of Companies159PB01.22.43.64.86+
88 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: ASCU is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (1.6x) compared to the Canadian Metals and Mining industry average (1.4x).

Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ASCU's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ASCU PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio1.6x
Fair PB Ration/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate ASCU's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ASCU forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCA$1.33
CA$3.86
+190.4%
11.7%CA$4.50CA$3.05n/a9
Nov ’25CA$1.40
CA$3.86
+175.9%
11.7%CA$4.50CA$3.05n/a9
Oct ’25CA$1.55
CA$3.56
+129.9%
13.4%CA$4.23CA$2.98n/a7
Sep ’25CA$1.72
CA$3.57
+107.7%
13.4%CA$4.42CA$2.95n/a8
Aug ’25CA$1.40
CA$3.13
+123.6%
10.2%CA$3.80CA$2.75n/a8
Jul ’25CA$1.27
CA$3.03
+138.5%
11.4%CA$3.75CA$2.49n/a9
Jun ’25CA$1.55
CA$3.04
+96.2%
11.9%CA$3.83CA$2.51n/a9
May ’25CA$1.46
CA$3.03
+107.2%
13.1%CA$3.85CA$2.49n/a9
Apr ’25CA$1.43
CA$2.91
+103.2%
14.1%CA$3.80CA$2.49n/a9
Mar ’25CA$1.25
CA$2.97
+137.3%
17.0%CA$3.90CA$2.50n/a9
Feb ’25CA$1.61
CA$3.25
+102.2%
11.0%CA$3.88CA$2.73n/a10
Jan ’25CA$1.75
CA$3.37
+92.4%
13.6%CA$3.91CA$2.48n/a10
Dec ’24CA$1.46
CA$3.37
+131.0%
14.0%CA$3.96CA$2.44n/a11
Nov ’24CA$1.48
CA$3.47
+134.2%
14.5%CA$4.07CA$2.53CA$1.4011
Oct ’24CA$1.57
CA$3.35
+113.4%
13.3%CA$4.01CA$2.46CA$1.5511
Sep ’24CA$1.59
CA$3.41
+114.6%
10.7%CA$3.93CA$2.75CA$1.728
Aug ’24CA$1.71
CA$3.41
+99.5%
10.7%CA$3.93CA$2.75CA$1.408
Jul ’24CA$1.67
CA$3.36
+101.0%
12.6%CA$3.94CA$2.65CA$1.278
Jun ’24CA$1.70
CA$3.41
+100.7%
13.9%CA$4.02CA$2.66CA$1.557
May ’24CA$1.78
CA$3.37
+89.1%
15.0%CA$4.04CA$2.65CA$1.466
Apr ’24CA$1.85
CA$3.06
+65.3%
11.6%CA$3.48CA$2.64CA$1.435
Mar ’24CA$1.91
CA$3.18
+66.4%
11.1%CA$3.51CA$2.67CA$1.254
Feb ’24CA$2.00
CA$3.23
+61.3%
14.1%CA$3.98CA$2.63CA$1.615
Jan ’24CA$1.92
CA$3.26
+69.6%
14.0%CA$3.98CA$2.65CA$1.756
Dec ’23CA$1.67
CA$3.23
+93.5%
14.2%CA$3.95CA$2.63CA$1.466
Nov ’23CA$1.56
CA$3.20
+105.2%
15.3%CA$3.98CA$2.63CA$1.485

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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