Stock Analysis

Argonaut Gold Inc.'s (TSE:AR) market cap dropped CA$44m last week; Retail investors bore the brunt

Published
TSX:AR

Key Insights

  • The considerable ownership by retail investors in Argonaut Gold indicates that they collectively have a greater say in management and business strategy
  • The top 9 shareholders own 51% of the company
  • Insiders have bought recently

A look at the shareholders of Argonaut Gold Inc. (TSE:AR) can tell us which group is most powerful. We can see that retail investors own the lion's share in the company with 45% ownership. That is, the group stands to benefit the most if the stock rises (or lose the most if there is a downturn).

As market cap fell to CA$387m last week, retail investors would have faced the highest losses than any other shareholder groups of the company.

Let's delve deeper into each type of owner of Argonaut Gold, beginning with the chart below.

View our latest analysis for Argonaut Gold

TSX:AR Ownership Breakdown February 13th 2024

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About Argonaut Gold?

Many institutions measure their performance against an index that approximates the local market. So they usually pay more attention to companies that are included in major indices.

We can see that Argonaut Gold does have institutional investors; and they hold a good portion of the company's stock. This can indicate that the company has a certain degree of credibility in the investment community. However, it is best to be wary of relying on the supposed validation that comes with institutional investors. They too, get it wrong sometimes. When multiple institutions own a stock, there's always a risk that they are in a 'crowded trade'. When such a trade goes wrong, multiple parties may compete to sell stock fast. This risk is higher in a company without a history of growth. You can see Argonaut Gold's historic earnings and revenue below, but keep in mind there's always more to the story.

TSX:AR Earnings and Revenue Growth February 13th 2024

It would appear that 39% of Argonaut Gold shares are controlled by hedge funds. That's interesting, because hedge funds can be quite active and activist. Many look for medium term catalysts that will drive the share price higher. Our data shows that GMT Capital Corp. is the largest shareholder with 28% of shares outstanding. Libra Advisors, LLC is the second largest shareholder owning 11% of common stock, and Van Eck Associates Corporation holds about 3.0% of the company stock. Furthermore, CEO Richard Young is the owner of 0.5% of the company's shares.

We also observed that the top 9 shareholders account for more than half of the share register, with a few smaller shareholders to balance the interests of the larger ones to a certain extent.

While it makes sense to study institutional ownership data for a company, it also makes sense to study analyst sentiments to know which way the wind is blowing. There is some analyst coverage of the stock, but it could still become more well known, with time.

Insider Ownership Of Argonaut Gold

The definition of an insider can differ slightly between different countries, but members of the board of directors always count. Management ultimately answers to the board. However, it is not uncommon for managers to be executive board members, especially if they are a founder or the CEO.

I generally consider insider ownership to be a good thing. However, on some occasions it makes it more difficult for other shareholders to hold the board accountable for decisions.

Shareholders would probably be interested to learn that insiders own shares in Argonaut Gold Inc.. As individuals, the insiders collectively own CA$8.2m worth of the CA$387m company. This shows at least some alignment. You can click here to see if those insiders have been buying or selling.

General Public Ownership

The general public, who are usually individual investors, hold a 45% stake in Argonaut Gold. This size of ownership, while considerable, may not be enough to change company policy if the decision is not in sync with other large shareholders.

Next Steps:

While it is well worth considering the different groups that own a company, there are other factors that are even more important. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Argonaut Gold that you should be aware of before investing here.

But ultimately it is the future, not the past, that will determine how well the owners of this business will do. Therefore we think it advisable to take a look at this free report showing whether analysts are predicting a brighter future.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.