Stock Analysis

Almaden Minerals (TSE:AMM) Is Carrying A Fair Bit Of Debt

TSX:AMM
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Almaden Minerals Ltd. (TSE:AMM) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Almaden Minerals

How Much Debt Does Almaden Minerals Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at December 2023 Almaden Minerals had debt of CA$4.37m, up from CA$3.93m in one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of CA$4.25m, its net debt is less, at about CA$125.6k.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSX:AMM Debt to Equity History April 5th 2024

How Healthy Is Almaden Minerals' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Almaden Minerals had liabilities of CA$951.7k due within 12 months, and liabilities of CA$4.76m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CA$4.25m as well as receivables valued at CA$389.9k due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CA$1.07m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Of course, Almaden Minerals has a market capitalization of CA$27.4m, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. But either way, Almaden Minerals has virtually no net debt, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Almaden Minerals will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Since Almaden Minerals has no significant operating revenue, shareholders probably hope it will develop a valuable new mine before too long.

Caveat Emptor

Over the last twelve months Almaden Minerals produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Indeed, it lost a very considerable CA$68m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. However, it doesn't help that it burned through CA$2.3m of cash over the last year. So in short it's a really risky stock. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Almaden Minerals (2 don't sit too well with us) you should be aware of.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.