Fairfax Financial Holdings Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

Fairfax Financial Holdings's earnings are forecast to decline at 13.4% per annum while its annual revenue is expected to grow at 3.7% per year. EPS is expected to decline by 8.1% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 8.3% in 3 years.

Key information

-13.4%

Earnings growth rate

-8.1%

EPS growth rate

Insurance earnings growth	5.1%
Revenue growth rate	3.7%
Future return on equity	8.3%
Analyst coverage	Low
Last updated	19 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

No updates

Recent updates

Earnings Working Against Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited's (TSE:FFH) Share Price

Sep 09

Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited's (TSE:FFH) Prospects Need A Boost To Lift Shares

Apr 10

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

TSX:FFH - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	36,150	3,509	N/A	4,353	1
12/31/2025	34,738	3,444	N/A	5,195	1
12/31/2024	33,058	3,542	N/A	5,529	1
9/30/2024	34,171	4,001	3,815	4,246	N/A
6/30/2024	33,324	4,040	2,664	3,073	N/A
3/31/2024	31,886	3,858	2,241	2,683	N/A
12/31/2023	31,834	4,332	-553	-39	N/A
9/30/2023	31,391	5,323	-983	-472	N/A
6/30/2023	30,157	4,755	-2,237	-1,709	N/A
3/31/2023	29,532	3,989	-5,031	-4,564	N/A
12/31/2022	27,804	3,329	-4,839	-4,420	N/A
9/30/2022	26,608	1,943	-4,132	-3,744	N/A
6/30/2022	26,096	1,906	507	883	N/A
3/31/2022	26,586	3,139	4,425	4,782	N/A
12/31/2021	26,204	3,357	6,287	6,641	N/A
9/30/2021	25,871	3,334	4,919	5,215	N/A
6/30/2021	24,288	3,006	1,529	1,820	N/A
3/31/2021	22,567	2,239	208	494	N/A
12/31/2020	19,678	174	-133	140	N/A
9/30/2020	18,633	-63	641	965	N/A
6/30/2020	18,566	-129	1,032	1,369	N/A
3/31/2020	18,942	-70	1,082	1,429	N/A
12/31/2019	21,533	1,958	1,036	1,355	N/A
9/30/2019	20,180	809	-556	-294	N/A
6/30/2019	19,695	847	69	309	N/A
3/31/2019	18,464	416	1,568	1,809	N/A
12/31/2018	17,758	331	-2,161	-1,924	N/A
9/30/2018	17,881	1,678	-1,806	-1,497	N/A
6/30/2018	18,347	2,049	N/A	-925	N/A
3/31/2018	17,395	2,297	N/A	-1,383	N/A
12/31/2017	15,206	1,696	N/A	2,734	N/A
9/30/2017	12,678	126	N/A	5,239	N/A
6/30/2017	10,202	-350	N/A	3,334	N/A
3/31/2017	9,851	-423	N/A	2,322	N/A
12/31/2016	9,300	-556	N/A	1,258	N/A
9/30/2016	9,972	249	N/A	-847	N/A
6/30/2016	10,517	672	N/A	-143	N/A
3/31/2016	9,143	247	N/A	720	N/A
12/31/2015	9,344	522	N/A	145	N/A
9/30/2015	8,971	440	N/A	358	N/A
6/30/2015	8,648	474	N/A	-490	N/A
3/31/2015	9,523	1,020	N/A	-735	N/A
12/31/2014	10,018	1,577	N/A	-70	N/A
9/30/2014	9,628	1,546	N/A	-83	N/A
6/30/2014	8,095	512	N/A	518	N/A
3/31/2014	7,043	-10	N/A	493	N/A
12/31/2013	5,945	-634	N/A	707	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: FFH's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-13.4% per year).

Earnings vs Market: FFH's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-13.4% per year).

High Growth Earnings: FFH's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: FFH's revenue (3.7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the Canadian market (7.1% per year).

High Growth Revenue: FFH's revenue (3.7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: FFH's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (8.3%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/30 05:01
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/30 00:00
Earnings	2024/09/30
Annual Earnings	2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited is covered by 11 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Tom MacKinnon	BMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Nikolaus Priebe	CIBC Capital Markets
Jeffrey Fenwick	Cormark Securities Inc.

Fairfax Financial Holdings Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Insider recently sold CA$3.0m worth of stock

Insider recently sold CA$1.9m worth of stock

New minor risk - Profit margin trend

Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (NYSE:CLF) completed the acquisition of Stelco Holdings Inc. (TSX:STLC) from Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited (TSX:FFH), Alan Kestenbaum, an affiliate of Lindsay Goldberg and others.

Third quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: US$46.61 (vs US$45.62 in 3Q 2023)

Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Oct 31, 2024

A group of individuals, shareholders and entities related or affiliated with Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited (TSX:FFH), Moses Znaimer, Omri Tintpulver and 16431771 Canada Inc. entered into an agreement to acquire remaining 24.17% stake in ZoomerMedia Limited (TSXV:ZUM) for CAD 5.6 million.

Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited (TSX:FFH) completed the acquisition of Sleep Country Canada Holdings Inc. (TSX:ZZZ) from Mawer Investment Management Ltd., Mackenzie Financial Corporation, Christine Magee, Stewart Schaefer and others.

President & COO recently sold CA$3.3m worth of stock

Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited (TSX:FFH) entered into an agreement to acquire an unknown majority stake in Peak Achievement Athletics Inc. from Sagard Holdings Inc.

Insider recently sold CA$1.6m worth of stock

Earnings Working Against Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited's (TSE:FFH) Share Price

Insider recently sold CA$6.9m worth of stock

Second quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: US$40.72 (vs US$31.10 in 2Q 2023)

Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Aug 01, 2024

Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited (TSX:FFH) entered into an arrangement agreement to acquire Sleep Country Canada Holdings Inc. (TSX:ZZZ) from Mawer Investment Management Ltd., Mackenzie Financial Corporation, Christine Magee, Stewart Schaefer and others for CAD 1.2 billion.

Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (NYSE:CLF) entered into a definitive agreement to acquire Stelco Holdings Inc. (TSX:STLC) from Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited (TSX:FFH), Alan Kestenbaum, an affiliate of Lindsay Goldberg and others for CAD 3.9 billion.

Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (NYSE:CLF) entered into a definitive agreement to acquire Stelco Holdings Inc. (TSX:STLC) from Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited (TSX:FFH), Alan Kestenbaum, an affiliate of Lindsay Goldberg and others for CAD 3.9 billion.

Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited (TSX:FFH) agreed to acquire an additional 4.24% stake in Ensign Energy Services Inc. (TSX:ESI) for CAD 18.22 million.