David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Mimi's Rock Corp. (CVE:MIMI) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Mimi's Rock
What Is Mimi's Rock's Net Debt?
As you can see below, at the end of September 2020, Mimi's Rock had CA$18.5m of debt, up from CA$10.9m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. And it doesn't have much cash, so its net debt is about the same.
How Healthy Is Mimi's Rock's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Mimi's Rock had liabilities of CA$20.9m due within 12 months and liabilities of CA$4.45m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CA$361.7k as well as receivables valued at CA$2.41m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CA$22.6m.
This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of CA$23.4m, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Mimi's Rock's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Weak interest cover of 1.2 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 7.4 hit our confidence in Mimi's Rock like a one-two punch to the gut. The debt burden here is substantial. Worse, Mimi's Rock's EBIT was down 40% over the last year. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Mimi's Rock's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Mimi's Rock barely recorded positive free cash flow, in total. Some might say that's a concern, when it comes considering how easily it would be for it to down debt.
Our View
To be frank both Mimi's Rock's interest cover and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. And furthermore, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow also fails to instill confidence. After considering the datapoints discussed, we think Mimi's Rock has too much debt. While some investors love that sort of risky play, it's certainly not our cup of tea. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Mimi's Rock .
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TSXV:MIMI
Mimi's Rock
Mimi’s Rock Corp. operates as an online dietary supplement and wellness company that markets and sells its products under the Dr.
Good value with imperfect balance sheet.