Stock Analysis

Jamieson Wellness (TSE:JWEL) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

TSX:JWEL
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Jamieson Wellness Inc. (TSE:JWEL) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Jamieson Wellness

How Much Debt Does Jamieson Wellness Carry?

As you can see below, Jamieson Wellness had CA$414.4m of debt, at December 2023, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have CA$36.9m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CA$377.5m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSX:JWEL Debt to Equity History March 15th 2024

How Strong Is Jamieson Wellness' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Jamieson Wellness had liabilities of CA$145.3m due within 12 months, and liabilities of CA$517.1m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CA$36.9m and CA$164.5m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CA$461.0m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Jamieson Wellness has a market capitalization of CA$1.22b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Jamieson Wellness has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 3.5 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 3.2 times. Taken together this implies that, while we wouldn't want to see debt levels rise, we think it can handle its current leverage. Even more troubling is the fact that Jamieson Wellness actually let its EBIT decrease by 10.0% over the last year. If that earnings trend continues the company will face an uphill battle to pay off its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Jamieson Wellness's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. In the last three years, Jamieson Wellness's free cash flow amounted to 30% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Our View

On this analysis Jamieson Wellness's EBIT growth rate and interest cover both make us a little nervous. But at least its level of total liabilities is not so bad. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that Jamieson Wellness's debt is making it a bit risky. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but we'd generally feel more comfortable with less leverage. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Jamieson Wellness (1 shouldn't be ignored) you should be aware of.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.