Stock Analysis

Here's Why We're Not Too Worried About Psyched Wellness' (CSE:PSYC) Cash Burn Situation

We can readily understand why investors are attracted to unprofitable companies. For example, biotech and mining exploration companies often lose money for years before finding success with a new treatment or mineral discovery. Having said that, unprofitable companies are risky because they could potentially burn through all their cash and become distressed.

So should Psyched Wellness (CSE:PSYC) shareholders be worried about its cash burn? For the purpose of this article, we'll define cash burn as the amount of cash the company is spending each year to fund its growth (also called its negative free cash flow). The first step is to compare its cash burn with its cash reserves, to give us its 'cash runway'.

See our latest analysis for Psyched Wellness

How Long Is Psyched Wellness' Cash Runway?

A company's cash runway is calculated by dividing its cash hoard by its cash burn. As at February 2021, Psyched Wellness had cash of CA$7.3m and no debt. Importantly, its cash burn was CA$3.4m over the trailing twelve months. Therefore, from February 2021 it had 2.2 years of cash runway. That's decent, giving the company a couple years to develop its business. You can see how its cash balance has changed over time in the image below.

debt-equity-history-analysis
CNSX:PSYC Debt to Equity History May 7th 2021

How Is Psyched Wellness' Cash Burn Changing Over Time?

Because Psyched Wellness isn't currently generating revenue, we consider it an early-stage business. So while we can't look to sales to understand growth, we can look at how the cash burn is changing to understand how expenditure is trending over time. Remarkably, it actually increased its cash burn by 2,501% in the last year. Given that sharp increase in spending, the company's cash runway will shrink rapidly as it depletes its cash reserves. Psyched Wellness makes us a little nervous due to its lack of substantial operating revenue. We prefer most of the stocks on this list of stocks that analysts expect to grow.

How Hard Would It Be For Psyched Wellness To Raise More Cash For Growth?

While Psyched Wellness does have a solid cash runway, its cash burn trajectory may have some shareholders thinking ahead to when the company may need to raise more cash. Issuing new shares, or taking on debt, are the most common ways for a listed company to raise more money for its business. One of the main advantages held by publicly listed companies is that they can sell shares to investors to raise cash and fund growth. By comparing a company's annual cash burn to its total market capitalisation, we can estimate roughly how many shares it would have to issue in order to run the company for another year (at the same burn rate).

Psyched Wellness has a market capitalisation of CA$36m and burnt through CA$3.4m last year, which is 9.5% of the company's market value. That's a low proportion, so we figure the company would be able to raise more cash to fund growth, with a little dilution, or even to simply borrow some money.

So, Should We Worry About Psyched Wellness' Cash Burn?

On this analysis of Psyched Wellness' cash burn, we think its cash runway was reassuring, while its increasing cash burn has us a bit worried. Cash burning companies are always on the riskier side of things, but after considering all of the factors discussed in this short piece, we're not too worried about its rate of cash burn. Taking an in-depth view of risks, we've identified 3 warning signs for Psyched Wellness that you should be aware of before investing.

Of course Psyched Wellness may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About CNSX:PSYC

Psyched Wellness

A health supplements company, produces and distributes mushroom-derived products and related consumer packaged goods in the United States.

Moderate risk with adequate balance sheet.

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