Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Nanalysis Scientific Corp. (CVE:NSCI) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
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What Is Nanalysis Scientific's Net Debt?
As you can see below, at the end of September 2023, Nanalysis Scientific had CA$15.6m of debt, up from CA$6.05m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of CA$1.27m, its net debt is less, at about CA$14.3m.
How Strong Is Nanalysis Scientific's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Nanalysis Scientific had liabilities of CA$10.8m due within 12 months, and liabilities of CA$16.4m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CA$1.27m and CA$6.47m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CA$19.4m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Nanalysis Scientific has a market capitalization of CA$41.8m, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Nanalysis Scientific's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
In the last year Nanalysis Scientific wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 14%, to CA$26m. That rate of growth is a bit slow for our taste, but it takes all types to make a world.
Caveat Emptor
Over the last twelve months Nanalysis Scientific produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Indeed, it lost a very considerable CA$16m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled CA$18m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So in short it's a really risky stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Nanalysis Scientific is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 2 of those can't be ignored...
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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About TSXV:NSCI
Nanalysis Scientific
Develops, manufactures, and sells magnetic resonance technology products in Canada, the United States, Canada, Europe, Asia, and internationally.
Moderate growth potential low.