Stock Analysis

Healwell AI Inc. (TSE:AIDX) Shares Slammed 27% But Getting In Cheap Might Be Difficult Regardless

TSX:AIDX
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Healwell AI Inc. (TSE:AIDX) shares have retraced a considerable 27% in the last month, reversing a fair amount of their solid recent performance. Of course, over the longer-term many would still wish they owned shares as the stock's price has soared 132% in the last twelve months.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, given around half the companies in Canada's Healthcare industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.4x, you may still consider Healwell AI as a stock to avoid entirely with its 12.1x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

View our latest analysis for Healwell AI

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TSX:AIDX Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 14th 2025

What Does Healwell AI's Recent Performance Look Like?

Healwell AI certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. It seems the market expects this form will continue into the future, hence the elevated P/S ratio. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Healwell AI.

How Is Healwell AI's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Healwell AI's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, we see the company's revenues grew exponentially. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year revenue frustratingly shrank by 43% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 55% per annum as estimated by the seven analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 8.1% each year growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this information, we can see why Healwell AI is trading at such a high P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Final Word

Even after such a strong price drop, Healwell AI's P/S still exceeds the industry median significantly. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our look into Healwell AI shows that its P/S ratio remains high on the merit of its strong future revenues. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. Unless the analysts have really missed the mark, these strong revenue forecasts should keep the share price buoyant.

You need to take note of risks, for example - Healwell AI has 2 warning signs (and 1 which can't be ignored) we think you should know about.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Healwell AI might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.