Stock Analysis

Not Many Are Piling Into Swiss Water Decaffeinated Coffee Inc. (TSE:SWP) Just Yet

TSX:SWP
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With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x Swiss Water Decaffeinated Coffee Inc. (TSE:SWP) may be sending bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all the Food companies in Canada have P/S ratios greater than 1x and even P/S higher than 8x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Swiss Water Decaffeinated Coffee

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TSX:SWP Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 15th 2024

How Has Swiss Water Decaffeinated Coffee Performed Recently?

For example, consider that Swiss Water Decaffeinated Coffee's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader industry in the near future. Those who are bullish on Swiss Water Decaffeinated Coffee will be hoping that this isn't the case so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Swiss Water Decaffeinated Coffee, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Swiss Water Decaffeinated Coffee would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 17%. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 54% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

When compared to the industry's one-year growth forecast of 5.4%, the most recent medium-term revenue trajectory is noticeably more alluring

In light of this, it's peculiar that Swiss Water Decaffeinated Coffee's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

The Bottom Line On Swiss Water Decaffeinated Coffee's P/S

While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

We're very surprised to see Swiss Water Decaffeinated Coffee currently trading on a much lower than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider industry forecast. Potential investors that are sceptical over continued revenue performance may be preventing the P/S ratio from matching previous strong performance. It appears many are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions would normally provide a boost to the share price.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Swiss Water Decaffeinated Coffee (of which 2 are potentially serious!) you should know about.

If you're unsure about the strength of Swiss Water Decaffeinated Coffee's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.