Andrew Peller Limited (TSE:ADW.A) Shares Fly 27% But Investors Aren't Buying For Growth
The Andrew Peller Limited (TSE:ADW.A) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 27%. Looking further back, the 21% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.
Even after such a large jump in price, it would still be understandable if you think Andrew Peller is a stock with good investment prospects with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 0.5x, considering almost half the companies in Canada's Beverage industry have P/S ratios above 1.2x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
See our latest analysis for Andrew Peller
How Has Andrew Peller Performed Recently?
With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, Andrew Peller has been relatively sluggish. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping revenue doesn't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Keen to find out how analysts think Andrew Peller's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Andrew Peller?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Andrew Peller would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 5.4%. The solid recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 6.6% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to slump, contracting by 1.6% during the coming year according to the dual analysts following the company. That's not great when the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 2.4%.
With this information, we are not surprised that Andrew Peller is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.
The Key Takeaway
Despite Andrew Peller's share price climbing recently, its P/S still lags most other companies. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
As we suspected, our examination of Andrew Peller's analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking revenue is contributing to its low P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
It is also worth noting that we have found 4 warning signs for Andrew Peller (2 shouldn't be ignored!) that you need to take into consideration.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSX:ADW.A
Andrew Peller
Engages in the production and marketing of wines and craft beverage alcohol products in Canada.
Average dividend payer slight.
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