Stock Analysis

Is Vital Energy (CVE:VUX) A Risky Investment?

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Vital Energy Inc. (CVE:VUX) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

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When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Vital Energy

What Is Vital Energy's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Vital Energy had CA$3.86m of debt, at June 2021, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. On the flip side, it has CA$826.9k in cash leading to net debt of about CA$3.03m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSXV:VUX Debt to Equity History September 15th 2021

How Healthy Is Vital Energy's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Vital Energy had liabilities of CA$5.57m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CA$1.63m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CA$826.9k as well as receivables valued at CA$1.14m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CA$5.23m.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of CA$6.58m. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Vital Energy will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Over 12 months, Vital Energy reported revenue of CA$5.9m, which is a gain of 25%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. With any luck the company will be able to grow its way to profitability.

Caveat Emptor

Despite the top line growth, Vital Energy still had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Its EBIT loss was a whopping CA$6.0m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled CA$267k in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So to be blunt we think it is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 4 warning signs with Vital Energy (at least 3 which are potentially serious) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TSXV:VUX

Vital Energy

A junior oil and gas company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of crude oil and natural gas in Western Canada.

Acceptable track record and slightly overvalued.

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