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Market Might Still Lack Some Conviction On Southern Energy Corp. (CVE:SOU) Even After 28% Share Price Boost
Southern Energy Corp. (CVE:SOU) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 28% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 43% over that time.
Although its price has surged higher, Southern Energy may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1x, since almost half of all companies in the Oil and Gas industry in Canada have P/S ratios greater than 2x and even P/S higher than 6x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
See our latest analysis for Southern Energy
What Does Southern Energy's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Southern Energy's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It seems that many are expecting the poor revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the P/S ratio. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Southern Energy will help you uncover what's on the horizon.Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Southern Energy?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Southern Energy would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 30%. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 14% overall rise in revenue. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the one analyst covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 18% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 1.0%, which is noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we find it odd that Southern Energy is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.
The Final Word
Despite Southern Energy's share price climbing recently, its P/S still lags most other companies. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
A look at Southern Energy's revenues reveals that, despite glowing future growth forecasts, its P/S is much lower than we'd expect. The reason for this depressed P/S could potentially be found in the risks the market is pricing in. It appears the market could be anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 4 warning signs for Southern Energy that we have uncovered.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSXV:SOU
Southern Energy
Operates as an oil and natural gas exploration and production company in Canada.
Low and slightly overvalued.