Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Prospera Energy Inc. (CVE:PEI) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
View our latest analysis for Prospera Energy
How Much Debt Does Prospera Energy Carry?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 Prospera Energy had debt of CA$10.1m, up from CA$6.82m in one year. Net debt is about the same, since the it doesn't have much cash.
How Strong Is Prospera Energy's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Prospera Energy had liabilities of CA$22.0m due within 12 months and liabilities of CA$26.2m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CA$26.6k and CA$2.89m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CA$45.3m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the CA$25.5m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Prospera Energy would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Prospera Energy's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
In the last year Prospera Energy wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 38%, to CA$14m. With any luck the company will be able to grow its way to profitability.
Caveat Emptor
While we can certainly appreciate Prospera Energy's revenue growth, its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is not ideal. Its EBIT loss was a whopping CA$3.1m. When we look at that alongside the significant liabilities, we're not particularly confident about the company. It would need to improve its operations quickly for us to be interested in it. Not least because it had negative free cash flow of CA$9.9m over the last twelve months. That means it's on the risky side of things. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Prospera Energy you should be aware of.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TSXV:PEI
Prospera Energy
A natural resources company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of petroleum and gas properties in Canada.
Slight and slightly overvalued.