Stock Analysis

Matachewan Consolidated Mines, Limited's (CVE:MCM.A) Shares Leap 45% Yet They're Still Not Telling The Full Story

TSXV:MCM.A
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Matachewan Consolidated Mines, Limited (CVE:MCM.A) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 45% after a shaky period beforehand. Longer-term shareholders would be thankful for the recovery in the share price since it's now virtually flat for the year after the recent bounce.

Even after such a large jump in price, given close to half the companies in Canada have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 17x, you may still consider Matachewan Consolidated Mines as a highly attractive investment with its 2x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.

With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Matachewan Consolidated Mines has been doing very well. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings growth might actually underperform the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Check out our latest analysis for Matachewan Consolidated Mines

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TSXV:MCM.A Price Based on Past Earnings May 4th 2021
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Matachewan Consolidated Mines, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Any Growth For Matachewan Consolidated Mines?

Matachewan Consolidated Mines' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling earnings, and importantly, perform much worse than the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 66% last year. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 224% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 22% shows it's noticeably more attractive on an annualised basis.

In light of this, it's peculiar that Matachewan Consolidated Mines' P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

The Key Takeaway

Matachewan Consolidated Mines' recent share price jump still sees its P/E sitting firmly flat on the ground. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Our examination of Matachewan Consolidated Mines revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't contributing to its P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current market expectations. When we see strong earnings with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. At least price risks look to be very low if recent medium-term earnings trends continue, but investors seem to think future earnings could see a lot of volatility.

Having said that, be aware Matachewan Consolidated Mines is showing 5 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 4 of those are concerning.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Matachewan Consolidated Mines, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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