Lycos Energy Valuation

Is LCX undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LCX when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: LCX (CA$2.87) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CA$0.46)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LCX is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LCX?

Key metric: As LCX is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for LCX. This is calculated by dividing LCX's market cap by their current earnings.
What is LCX's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	11.1x
Earnings	CA$13.71m
Market Cap	CA$145.34m

LCX key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	1.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	2.9x
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does LCX's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for LCX vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	15.1x
ORC.B Orca Energy Group	10.8x	n/a	CA$157.0m
GXE Gear Energy	11.5x	n/a	CA$134.4m
IPO InPlay Oil	8.6x	-10.8%	CA$156.8m
JOY Journey Energy	29.6x	27.0%	CA$136.9m
LCX Lycos Energy	11.1x	n/a	CA$145.3m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: LCX is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.1x) compared to the peer average (15.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does LCX's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CA Oil and Gas Industry?

7 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
HAM Highwood Asset Management	1.3x	-43.9%	US$66.82m
ALPS.U Alpine Summit Energy Partners	1x	n/a	US$24.02m
KUB.H Carcetti Capital	0.7x	n/a	US$5.82m
GCOM Green Shift Commodities	1.4x	n/a	US$4.44m

7 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: LCX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.1x) compared to the Canadian Oil and Gas industry average (11x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LCX's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LCX PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	11.1x
Fair PE Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate LCX's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LCX forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	CA$2.87	CA$5.40 +88.2%	21.4%	CA$7.50	CA$4.50	n/a	6
Nov ’25	CA$2.72	CA$5.57 +104.7%	18.7%	CA$7.50	CA$4.50	n/a	6
Oct ’25	CA$2.92	CA$5.65 +93.5%	18.0%	CA$7.50	CA$4.50	n/a	6
Sep ’25	CA$3.17	CA$5.98 +88.7%	24.0%	CA$9.00	CA$5.00	n/a	6
Aug ’25	CA$3.35	CA$5.98 +78.6%	24.0%	CA$9.00	CA$5.00	n/a	6
Jul ’25	CA$3.40	CA$6.03 +77.2%	23.4%	CA$9.00	CA$5.00	n/a	6
Jun ’25	CA$3.50	CA$6.03 +72.1%	23.4%	CA$9.00	CA$5.00	n/a	6
May ’25	CA$3.49	CA$6.35 +81.9%	25.7%	CA$9.00	CA$5.00	n/a	4
Apr ’25	CA$3.38	CA$6.33 +87.1%	25.8%	CA$9.00	CA$5.00	n/a	4
Mar ’25	CA$3.25	CA$6.35 +95.4%	25.7%	CA$9.00	CA$5.00	n/a	4
Feb ’25	CA$3.14	CA$6.98 +122.1%	21.0%	CA$9.00	CA$5.00	n/a	4
Jan ’25	CA$3.30	CA$7.35 +122.7%	22.9%	CA$10.00	CA$5.50	n/a	4
Dec ’24	CA$3.50	CA$7.35 +110.0%	22.9%	CA$10.00	CA$5.50	n/a	4
Nov ’24	CA$3.79	CA$7.48 +97.2%	20.8%	CA$10.00	CA$6.00	CA$2.72	4
Sep ’24	CA$3.99	CA$7.33 +83.8%	26.1%	CA$10.00	CA$5.60	CA$3.17	3
Aug ’24	CA$3.36	CA$7.33 +118.3%	26.1%	CA$10.00	CA$5.60	CA$3.35	3
Jul ’24	CA$3.20	CA$7.07 +120.8%	30.8%	CA$10.00	CA$4.80	CA$3.40	3
Jun ’24	CA$3.40	CA$8.00 +135.3%	25.0%	CA$10.00	CA$6.00	CA$3.50	2
May ’24	CA$3.84	CA$8.20 +113.5%	22.0%	CA$10.00	CA$6.40	CA$3.49	2

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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