Cielo Waste Solutions Valuation

Is CMC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Book vs Peers
Price-To-Book vs Industry
Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CMC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate CMC's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate CMC's fair value for valuation analysis.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CMC?

Key metric: As CMC is unprofitable and pre-revenue we use its Price-To-Book Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Book ratio for CMC. This is calculated by dividing CMC's market cap by their current book value.
What is CMC's PB Ratio?
PB Ratio	0.3x
Book	CA$40.95m
Market Cap	CA$12.58m

CMC key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	n/a
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	-4.6x
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does CMC's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for CMC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PB	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	3.7x
LCFS Tidewater Renewables	0.2x	110.5%	CA$31.6m
FIND Baselode Energy	1.1x	n/a	CA$13.4m
TCF Trillion Energy International	0.4x	193.7%	CA$13.5m
PEI Prospera Energy	12.9x	n/a	CA$14.9m
CMC Cielo Waste Solutions	0.3x	n/a	CA$12.6m

Price-To-Book vs Peers: CMC is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (0.3x) compared to the peer average (3.7x).

Price to Book Ratio vs Industry

How does CMC's PB Ratio compare vs other companies in the CA Oil and Gas Industry?

9 Companies	Price / Book	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
BNE Bonterra Energy	0.2x	-82.7%	US$94.46m
YGR Yangarra Resources	0.2x	n/a	US$73.00m
TWM Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure	0.2x	110.6%	US$42.84m
LCFS Tidewater Renewables	0.2x	110.5%	US$22.47m

9 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: CMC is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (0.3x) compared to the Canadian Oil and Gas industry average (1.3x).

Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CMC's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CMC PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio	0.3x
Fair PB Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate CMC's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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