Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Tourmaline Oil Corp. (TSE:TOU) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Tourmaline Oil
What Is Tourmaline Oil's Debt?
As you can see below, Tourmaline Oil had CA$448.3m of debt at September 2022, down from CA$1.41b a year prior. However, because it has a cash reserve of CA$88.7m, its net debt is less, at about CA$359.6m.
How Healthy Is Tourmaline Oil's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Tourmaline Oil had liabilities of CA$1.81b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CA$3.72b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CA$88.7m in cash and CA$767.8m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CA$4.68b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Given Tourmaline Oil has a humongous market capitalization of CA$24.0b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. But either way, Tourmaline Oil has virtually no net debt, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Tourmaline Oil has very modest net debt levels, with net debt at just 0.044 times EBITDA. Humorously, it actually received more in interest over the last twelve months than it had to pay. So it's fair to say it can handle debt like an Olympic ice-skater handles a pirouette. Better yet, Tourmaline Oil grew its EBIT by 680% last year, which is an impressive improvement. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Tourmaline Oil can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. In the last three years, Tourmaline Oil's free cash flow amounted to 37% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.
Our View
The good news is that Tourmaline Oil's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. Looking at the bigger picture, we think Tourmaline Oil's use of debt seems quite reasonable and we're not concerned about it. While debt does bring risk, when used wisely it can also bring a higher return on equity. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 4 warning signs with Tourmaline Oil (at least 2 which are significant) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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About TSX:TOU
Tourmaline Oil
Explores for and develops oil and natural gas properties in the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin.
High growth potential with solid track record.