Suncor Energy Inc.

TSX:SU Stock Report

Market Cap: CA$103.8b

Suncor Energy Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

Suncor Energy's revenue is forecast to decline at 0.2% per annum while its annual earnings are expected to grow at 2.8% per year. EPS is expected to grow by 8% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 15.8% in 3 years.

Key information

2.8%

Earnings growth rate

8.01%

EPS growth rate

Oil and Gas earnings growth8.9%
Revenue growth rate-0.2%
Future return on equity15.82%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated07 May 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update • Apr 26

SU: Buybacks And Shifting Street Views Will Shape Future Margin Expectations

Analysts' fair value estimate for Suncor Energy has shifted to CA$97.05 from CA$92.79 as they factor in updated expectations for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E, in line with a series of recent price target revisions across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Suncor Energy has been active, with a cluster of price target revisions from large global banks and local firms.
New Narrative • Apr 15

High Utilization And Capital Demands Will Pressure Margins And Earnings Quality

Catalysts About Suncor Energy Suncor Energy is an integrated energy company focused on Canadian oil sands production, upgrading, refining and refined product sales. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Narrative Update • Apr 11

SU: Buybacks And Mixed Rating Revisions Will Shape Oils Margin Outlook

Analysts have lifted the fair value estimate for Suncor Energy by about CA$10 to CA$92.79, reflecting updated assumptions for modest revenue growth, a higher profit margin profile, and a lower future P/E multiple, supported by a series of recent price target increases across major Canadian and global banks. Analyst Commentary Recent research coverage on Suncor Energy has been active, with a cluster of price target changes and one rating upgrade contributing to a higher fair value estimate.
New Narrative • Apr 01

Integrated Operations And Efficiency Gains Will Support Stronger Long Term Cash Generation

Catalysts About Suncor Energy Suncor Energy is an integrated energy company involved in oil sands mining, upgrading, refining and marketing of refined products. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Narrative Update • Mar 28

SU: Buybacks And Investor Day Will Mask Oil Sands Margin Uncertainty

Analysts have raised the implied fair value estimate for Suncor Energy shares to about CA$82 from roughly CA$78, citing a stronger profit margin outlook, updated P/E assumptions, and a series of recent price target increases across major firms following sector-wide estimate revisions. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Suncor Energy has centered on how revised price targets line up with expectations for earnings power, capital allocation, and the company’s large oil sands resource base.
Narrative Update • Mar 13

SU: Investor Day And Buybacks Will Shape Oil Sands Resource Reassessment

The analyst fair value estimate for Suncor Energy has been lifted from CA$75.45 to CA$77.50, reflecting higher Street price targets and updated analyst views on sector conditions and relative valuation. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Suncor Energy shows a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms adjusting their price targets and ratings in response to sector conditions and company specific factors.
Narrative Update • Feb 26

SU: Investor Day And Oil Sands Disclosure Will Shape Fairly Balanced Outlook

Narrative Update Our analyst fair value estimate for Suncor Energy has moved modestly higher to CA$75.45 from CA$74.40. This reflects recent price target increases from several firms as analysts cite upcoming investor communications and perceived support for the company's relative valuation.
Narrative Update • Feb 11

SU: Investor Day And P/E Repricing Will Frame Fairly Balanced Outlook

Analysts have raised their CA$68.05 fair value estimate for Suncor Energy to CA$74.40, citing recent price target increases from several firms, updated assumptions for a higher future P/E of about 19x, and revised expectations for revenue trends and profit margins. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates show a mix of optimism and caution around Suncor Energy, with several price target changes and refreshed views on valuation and execution.
Narrative Update • Jan 27

SU: Free Cash Flow Yield And Investor Day Framing Future Repricing Balance

The updated fair value estimate for Suncor Energy edges higher to $68.05 from $67.15, reflecting analysts' mixed but generally constructive price target revisions and ongoing debate around revenue growth expectations, profit margins, and a future P/E near 15x. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Suncor Energy points to a mix of optimism on valuation and cash generation, alongside some caution about relative positioning within the broader energy group.
Narrative Update • Jan 11

SU: Double Digit Free Cash Flow Yield And Capital Returns Will Support Future Repricing

Narrative Update: Suncor Energy The modest increase in our fair value estimate to $67.15 from $66.70 aligns with analysts lifting Suncor Energy price targets into the C$70 to C$71 range, citing an upcoming investor day, sustaining free cash flow yield, and updated multi year guidance as key supports for the shares. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Suncor Energy has centered on updated guidance into 2025 and preliminary 2026 commentary, the upcoming investor day, and how the current share price lines up with free cash flow yield and reserve bookings.
Narrative Update • Dec 23

SU: Double Digit Free Cash Flow Yield Will Support Strong Capital Returns

The analyst price target for Suncor Energy has been nudged higher to approximately C$66.70 from about C$66.50, as analysts factor in stronger sustaining free cash flow yields and updated multi year guidance that supports a modestly higher valuation multiple despite slightly softer growth and margin assumptions. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts highlight that Suncor's valuation is increasingly supported by a double digit sustaining free cash flow yield, which screens attractively versus peers and underpins the modest upward revision in the consolidated price target.
Narrative Update • Dec 09

SU: Free Cash Flow Yield And Refining Strength Will Support Future Returns

The analyst price target for Suncor Energy has been modestly raised to approximately $66.50 from about $65.55, as analysts factor in updated multi year guidance, resilient refining margins, and an increasingly compelling sustaining free cash flow yield across a still cautious energy backdrop. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Suncor Energy has tilted more constructive, with several bullish analysts citing a combination of higher sustained free cash flow, supportive refining dynamics, and improved capital return visibility as reasons to raise price targets.
Narrative Update • Nov 24

SU: Shares Will Continue Providing Strong Yield Amid Market Uncertainty

Suncor Energy’s analyst fair value price target has been raised from $64.10 to $65.55. This change reflects updated guidance and more compelling valuation dynamics highlighted by analysts in recent research.
Narrative Update • Nov 07

SU: Shares Will Remain Resilient As Cash Flow Yields Stay Strong

Suncor Energy's analyst fair value estimate has increased from C$62.55 to C$64.10. Analysts point to improving free cash flow yield, higher profit margin expectations, and sector resilience as key drivers for the upward revision.
Narrative Update • Oct 24

Capital Returns And Sector Resilience Will Shape Oil Sands Prospects

The analyst price target for Suncor Energy has increased modestly, rising from $62.32 to $62.55. Analysts point to the company's ongoing capital returns and sector resilience as supporting factors for the upward adjustment.
Narrative Update • Oct 10

Cost Reductions And Oil Sands Risks Will Shape Future Prospects

Analysts have raised their price target for Suncor Energy, increasing the estimate from approximately C$61.58 to C$62.32. They cite resilient energy equities and updates to financial forecasts as key factors driving this change.
Narrative Update • Sep 04

Cost Reductions And Oil Sands Risks Will Shape Future Prospects

With no analyst reasoning provided, both Suncor Energy's Discount Rate and Future P/E remained stable, resulting in an unchanged analyst price target of CA$61.58. What's in the News Completed repurchase of 24,315,149 shares (1.95% of outstanding) for CAD 1,249.8 million under its buyback program.
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New Narrative • Nov 24

Analysts Predict Dismal Prospects As Profit Margins And Earnings Shrink In Oil And Gas Industry

Suncor Energy's improved production and refining throughput enhances revenue and profit margins through efficient utilization and cost management.

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

TSX:SU - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (CAD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/202854,6628,53110,08715,8416
12/31/202753,7338,0129,40915,4139
12/31/202664,21610,18211,40717,5725
3/31/202651,0666,3297,23213,060N/A
12/31/202548,9085,9186,92512,781N/A
9/30/202549,3975,2608,03613,943N/A
6/30/202549,7335,6618,44114,419N/A
3/31/202550,6316,0959,01215,329N/A
12/31/202450,6896,0169,47715,960N/A
9/30/202450,9688,0188,73015,195N/A
6/30/202450,7297,5428,63115,118N/A
3/31/202449,5597,8537,97314,092N/A
12/31/202349,0928,2956,40812,344N/A
9/30/202350,2028,2166,22411,950N/A
6/30/202352,4976,0636,64912,215N/A
3/31/202356,9138,1808,42913,647N/A
12/31/202258,3369,07710,56015,680N/A
9/30/202255,5657,8899,40914,371N/A
6/30/202250,7669,3759,87414,640N/A
3/31/202243,7906,2477,70912,491N/A
12/31/202139,1324,1197,20911,764N/A
9/30/202134,5982,3985,6259,963N/A
6/30/202130,8801,5092,4326,490N/A
3/31/202125,950272273,636N/A
12/31/202024,662-4,319-1,2512,675N/A
9/30/202027,534-6,486-5694,165N/A
6/30/202030,910-5,4397476,056N/A
3/31/202036,752-2,0964,28210,257N/A
12/31/201938,3442,899N/A10,421N/A
9/30/201937,4184,954N/A11,157N/A
6/30/201938,4625,731N/A12,391N/A
3/31/201938,7183,974N/A11,404N/A
12/31/201838,5423,293N/A10,580N/A
9/30/201838,9544,955N/A10,295N/A
6/30/201836,0704,432N/A8,837N/A
3/31/201832,9743,895N/A8,062N/A
12/31/201731,9544,458N/A8,966N/A
9/30/201730,8213,607N/A9,002N/A
6/30/201730,2672,710N/A8,069N/A
3/31/201728,9501,540N/A7,260N/A
12/31/201626,807434N/A5,680N/A
9/30/201625,466-2,104N/A4,332N/A
6/30/201625,542-2,872N/A5,124N/A
3/31/201627,723-1,408N/A6,056N/A
12/31/201529,208-1,995N/A6,884N/A
9/30/201531,60896N/A7,456N/A
6/30/201534,2981,391N/A7,590N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: SU's forecast earnings growth (2.8% per year) is below the savings rate (3%).

Earnings vs Market: SU's earnings (2.8% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the Canadian market (10.8% per year).

High Growth Earnings: SU's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: SU's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-0.2% per year).

High Growth Revenue: SU's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-0.2% per year).

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: SU's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (15.8%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/07 00:39
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/07 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Suncor Energy Inc. is covered by 42 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Harshit GuptaAccountability Research Corporation
Patrick O'RourkeATB Cormark
Brent WatsonATB Cormark Historical (Cormark Securities)