Stock Analysis
The board of Surge Energy Inc. (TSE:SGY) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 15th of January, with investors receiving CA$0.0433 per share. This makes the dividend yield 9.7%, which will augment investor returns quite nicely.
View our latest analysis for Surge Energy
Surge Energy Might Find It Hard To Continue The Dividend
While it is great to have a strong dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is sustainable. Surge Energy is not generating a profit, but its free cash flows easily cover the dividend, leaving plenty for reinvestment in the business. This gives us some comfort about the level of the dividend payments.
Over the next year, EPS is forecast to rise by 77.1%. While it is good to see income moving in the right direction, it still looks like the company won't achieve profitability. The healthy cash flows are definitely a good sign though, so we wouldn't panic just yet, especially with the earnings growing.
Dividend Volatility
Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. The dividend has gone from an annual total of CA$4.42 in 2014 to the most recent total annual payment of CA$0.52. Dividend payments have fallen sharply, down 88% over that time. Generally, we don't like to see a dividend that has been declining over time as this can degrade shareholders' returns and indicate that the company may be running into problems.
The Company Could Face Some Challenges Growing The Dividend
With a relatively unstable dividend, and a poor history of shrinking dividends, it's even more important to see if EPS is growing. We are encouraged to see that Surge Energy has grown earnings per share at 50% per year over the past five years. While the company hasn't yet recorded a profit, the growth rates are healthy. If this trajectory continues and the company can turn a profit soon, it could bode well for the dividend going forward.
Our Thoughts On Surge Energy's Dividend
In summary, while it's good to see that the dividend hasn't been cut, we are a bit cautious about Surge Energy's payments, as there could be some issues with sustaining them into the future. In the past, the payments have been unstable, but over the short term the dividend could be reliable, with the company generating enough cash to cover it. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.
It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. For instance, we've picked out 1 warning sign for Surge Energy that investors should take into consideration. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSX:SGY
Surge Energy
Explores, develops, and produces oil and gas in western Canada.