Stock Analysis

Little Excitement Around Parex Resources Inc.'s (TSE:PXT) Earnings As Shares Take 35% Pounding

TSX:PXT
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Parex Resources Inc. (TSE:PXT) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 35% share price drop in the last month. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 48% in that time.

After such a large drop in price, Parex Resources may be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 3.1x, since almost half of all companies in Canada have P/E ratios greater than 16x and even P/E's higher than 32x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Recent times haven't been advantageous for Parex Resources as its earnings have been falling quicker than most other companies. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to improve at all. If you still like the company, you'd want its earnings trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping the earnings slide doesn't get any worse if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

View our latest analysis for Parex Resources

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSX:PXT Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry August 30th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Parex Resources' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Any Growth For Parex Resources?

Parex Resources' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling earnings, and importantly, perform much worse than the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 36% decrease to the company's bottom line. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 86% overall rise in EPS, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would probably welcome the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should bring diminished returns, with earnings decreasing 42% as estimated by the two analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the broader market is forecast to expand by 29%, which paints a poor picture.

With this information, we are not surprised that Parex Resources is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.

What We Can Learn From Parex Resources' P/E?

Parex Resources' P/E looks about as weak as its stock price lately. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Parex Resources maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast for sliding earnings, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Parex Resources (1 is a bit unpleasant) you should be aware of.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Parex Resources. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.