Stock Analysis

Freehold Royalties (TSE:FRU) Will Pay A Dividend Of CA$0.09

TSX:FRU
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The board of Freehold Royalties Ltd. (TSE:FRU) has announced that it will pay a dividend of CA$0.09 per share on the 15th of June. Based on this payment, the dividend yield on the company's stock will be 7.6%, which is an attractive boost to shareholder returns.

See our latest analysis for Freehold Royalties

Freehold Royalties Is Paying Out More Than It Is Earning

Impressive dividend yields are good, but this doesn't matter much if the payments can't be sustained. Prior to this announcement, Freehold Royalties' dividend was making up a very large proportion of earnings and perhaps more concerning was that it was 152% of cash flows. This is certainly a risk factor, as reduced cash flows could force the company to pay a lower dividend.

Over the next year, EPS is forecast to fall by 20.0%. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we believe the payout ratio could reach 101%, which could put the dividend under pressure if earnings don't start to improve.

historic-dividend
TSX:FRU Historic Dividend May 15th 2023

Freehold Royalties' Track Record Isn't Great

The company hasn't been particularly volatile, but it has been steadily decreasing which of course is not what investors like to see. The dividend has gone from an annual total of CA$1.68 in 2013 to the most recent total annual payment of CA$1.08. The dividend has shrunk at around 4.3% a year during that period. Declining dividends isn't generally what we look for as they can indicate that the company is running into some challenges.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. Freehold Royalties has impressed us by growing EPS at 75% per year over the past five years. EPS is growing rapidly, although the company is also paying out a large portion of its profits as dividends. If earnings keep growing, the dividend may be sustainable, but generally we'd prefer to see a fast growing company reinvest in further growth.

In Summary

Overall, it's nice to see a consistent dividend payment, but we think that longer term, the current level of payment might be unsustainable. While the low payout ratio is a redeeming feature, this is offset by the minimal cash to cover the payments. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. For example, we've identified 2 warning signs for Freehold Royalties (1 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing. Is Freehold Royalties not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.