Stock Analysis

Canacol Energy Ltd's (TSE:CNE) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking

Canacol Energy Ltd's (TSE:CNE) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Oil and Gas industry in Canada, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 2.2x and even P/S above 6x are quite common. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

View our latest analysis for Canacol Energy

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TSX:CNE Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 19th 2025
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How Has Canacol Energy Performed Recently?

With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Canacol Energy has been doing relatively well. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the share price, and thus the P/S ratio. If the company manages to stay the course, then investors should be rewarded with a share price that matches its revenue figures.

Keen to find out how analysts think Canacol Energy's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Canacol Energy would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 14% gain to the company's revenues. Revenue has also lifted 19% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been respectable for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to slump, contracting by 7.7% during the coming year according to the dual analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the broader industry is forecast to expand by 4.2%, which paints a poor picture.

With this information, we are not surprised that Canacol Energy is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. However, shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.

What We Can Learn From Canacol Energy's P/S?

Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

With revenue forecasts that are inferior to the rest of the industry, it's no surprise that Canacol Energy's P/S is on the lower end of the spectrum. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Canacol Energy (of which 1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) you should know about.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About TSX:CNE

Canacol Energy

Operates as an oil and gas company in Colombia.

Solid track record and good value.

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