Cardinal Energy Ltd. (TSE:CJ) will pay a dividend of CA$0.06 on the 15th of October. Based on this payment, the dividend yield on the company's stock will be 9.4%, which is an attractive boost to shareholder returns.
Estimates Indicate Cardinal Energy's Could Struggle to Maintain Dividend Payments In The Future
A big dividend yield for a few years doesn't mean much if it can't be sustained. Before this announcement, Cardinal Energy was paying out 131% of what it was earning, and not generating any free cash flows either. This high of a dividend payment could start to put pressure on the balance sheet in the future.
EPS is set to fall by 100.0% over the next 12 months. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we believe the payout ratio could reach over 200%, which could put the dividend under pressure if earnings don't start to improve.
See our latest analysis for Cardinal Energy
Dividend Volatility
The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least one cut in the last 10 years. Since 2015, the dividend has gone from CA$0.84 total annually to CA$0.72. Doing the maths, this is a decline of about 1.5% per year. A company that decreases its dividend over time generally isn't what we are looking for.
Dividend Growth Could Be Constrained
Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. It's encouraging to see that Cardinal Energy has been growing its earnings per share at 32% a year over the past five years. Although earnings per share is up nicely Cardinal Energy is paying out 131% of its earnings as dividends, which we feel is borderline unsustainable without extenuating circumstances.
Cardinal Energy's Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable
Overall, it's nice to see a consistent dividend payment, but we think that longer term, the current level of payment might be unsustainable. While we generally think the level of distributions are a bit high, we wouldn't rule it out as becoming a good dividend payer in the future as its earnings are growing healthily. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.
Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. For instance, we've picked out 2 warning signs for Cardinal Energy that investors should take into consideration. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSX:CJ
Cardinal Energy
Engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, optimization, and production of petroleum and natural gas in the provinces of Alberta, British Columbia, and Saskatchewan in Canada.
Adequate balance sheet and fair value.
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