The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Birchcliff Energy Ltd. (TSE:BIR) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
Check out our latest analysis for Birchcliff Energy
What Is Birchcliff Energy's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Birchcliff Energy had debt of CA$191.4m at the end of March 2023, a reduction from CA$436.0m over a year. On the flip side, it has CA$7.66m in cash leading to net debt of about CA$183.8m.
How Healthy Is Birchcliff Energy's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Birchcliff Energy had liabilities of CA$146.3m due within 12 months and liabilities of CA$670.8m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CA$7.66m and CA$77.5m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling CA$731.9m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Birchcliff Energy has a market capitalization of CA$2.12b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Birchcliff Energy has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.21. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 41.2 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. And we also note warmly that Birchcliff Energy grew its EBIT by 16% last year, making its debt load easier to handle. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Birchcliff Energy can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Birchcliff Energy produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 65% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
Our View
Happily, Birchcliff Energy's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its net debt to EBITDA is also very heartening. Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that Birchcliff Energy takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Birchcliff Energy you should be aware of.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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About TSX:BIR
Birchcliff Energy
An intermediate oil and natural gas company, explores for, develops, and produces natural gas, light oil, condensate, and other natural gas liquids in Western Canada.
Adequate balance sheet with limited growth.