It's not a stretch to say that Athabasca Oil Corporation's (TSE:ATH) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.3x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" for companies in the Oil and Gas industry in Canada, where the median P/S ratio is around 2.4x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
Check out our latest analysis for Athabasca Oil
What Does Athabasca Oil's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Athabasca Oil could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance will turn around. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Keen to find out how analysts think Athabasca Oil's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.How Is Athabasca Oil's Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Athabasca Oil would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 5.7% last year. The solid recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 9.2% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 8.5% as estimated by the four analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 5.5%, which is noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we find it interesting that Athabasca Oil is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.
What We Can Learn From Athabasca Oil's P/S?
Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Athabasca Oil currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the wider industry. Perhaps uncertainty in the revenue forecasts are what's keeping the P/S ratio consistent with the rest of the industry. This uncertainty seems to be reflected in the share price which, while stable, could be higher given the revenue forecasts.
Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with Athabasca Oil (including 1 which is concerning).
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSX:ATH
Athabasca Oil
Engages in the exploration, development, and production of thermal and light oil resource plays in the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin in Alberta, Canada.
Flawless balance sheet and undervalued.
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