Stock Analysis

Olympia Financial Group (TSE:OLY) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of CA$0.60

TSX:OLY
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The board of Olympia Financial Group Inc. (TSE:OLY) has announced that it will pay a dividend of CA$0.60 per share on the 30th of May. The dividend yield will be 6.8% based on this payment which is still above the industry average.

Olympia Financial Group's Payment Could Potentially Have Solid Earnings Coverage

While it is great to have a strong dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is sustainable. Before this announcement, Olympia Financial Group was paying out 74% of earnings, but a comparatively small 70% of free cash flows. This leaves plenty of cash for reinvestment into the business.

Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to fall by 8.6% over the next year. If recent patterns in the dividend continue, we could see the payout ratio reaching 89% in the next 12 months, which is on the higher end of the range we would say is sustainable.

historic-dividend
TSX:OLY Historic Dividend May 15th 2025

See our latest analysis for Olympia Financial Group

Dividend Volatility

While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. Since 2015, the annual payment back then was CA$2.60, compared to the most recent full-year payment of CA$7.20. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 11% over that duration. It is great to see strong growth in the dividend payments, but cuts are concerning as it may indicate the payout policy is too ambitious.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. Olympia Financial Group has seen EPS rising for the last five years, at 22% per annum. However, Olympia Financial Group isn't reinvesting a lot back into the business, so we wonder how quickly it will be able to grow in the future.

We Really Like Olympia Financial Group's Dividend

Overall, we think that this is a great income investment, and we think that maintaining the dividend this year may have been a conservative choice. The earnings easily cover the company's distributions, and the company is generating plenty of cash. If earnings do fall over the next 12 months, the dividend could be buffeted a little bit, but we don't think it should cause too much of a problem in the long term. All in all, this checks a lot of the boxes we look for when choosing an income stock.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. To that end, Olympia Financial Group has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is significant) we think you should know about. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.