Stock Analysis

ECN Capital (TSE:ECN) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.01

TSX:ECN
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ECN Capital Corp.'s (TSE:ECN) investors are due to receive a payment of $0.01 per share on 19th of April. This means the annual payment will be 2.2% of the current stock price, which is lower than the industry average.

While the dividend yield is important for income investors, it is also important to consider any large share price moves, as this will generally outweigh any gains from distributions. ECN Capital's stock price has reduced by 36% in the last 3 months, which is not ideal for investors and can explain a sharp increase in the dividend yield.

See our latest analysis for ECN Capital

ECN Capital's Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage

If it is predictable over a long period, even low dividend yields can be attractive. Even in the absence of profits, ECN Capital is paying a dividend. The company is also yet to generate cash flow, so the dividend sustainability is definitely questionable.

Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise exponentially over the next year. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio will be 0.9%, which makes us pretty comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.

historic-dividend
TSX:ECN Historic Dividend March 25th 2024

ECN Capital Is Still Building Its Track Record

ECN Capital's dividend has been pretty stable for a little while now, but we will continue to be cautious until it has been demonstrated for a few more years. The annual payment during the last 7 years was $0.0295 in 2017, and the most recent fiscal year payment was $0.0291. Payments have been decreasing at a very slow pace in this time period. Declining dividends isn't generally what we look for as they can indicate that the company is running into some challenges.

Dividend Growth Potential Is Shaky

Investors could be attracted to the stock based on the quality of its payment history. Unfortunately things aren't as good as they seem. ECN Capital's earnings per share has shrunk at 39% a year over the past five years. This steep decline can indicate that the business is going through a tough time, which could constrain its ability to pay a larger dividend each year in the future. On the bright side, earnings are predicted to gain some ground over the next year, but until this turns into a pattern we wouldn't be feeling too comfortable.

We should note that ECN Capital has issued stock equal to 14% of shares outstanding. Trying to grow the dividend when issuing new shares reminds us of the ancient Greek tale of Sisyphus - perpetually pushing a boulder uphill. Companies that consistently issue new shares are often suboptimal from a dividend perspective.

ECN Capital's Dividend Doesn't Look Great

Overall, while some might be pleased that the dividend wasn't cut, we think this may help ECN Capital make more consistent payments in the future. The company seems to be stretching itself a bit to make such big payments, but it doesn't appear they can be consistent over time. Overall, the dividend is not reliable enough to make this a good income stock.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. Just as an example, we've come across 3 warning signs for ECN Capital you should be aware of, and 2 of them make us uncomfortable. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.