The three-year shareholder returns and company earnings persist lower as MTY Food Group (TSE:MTY) stock falls a further 6.9% in past week

By
Simply Wall St
Published
February 23, 2022
TSX:MTY
Source: Shutterstock

As an investor its worth striving to ensure your overall portfolio beats the market average. But the risk of stock picking is that you will likely buy under-performing companies. We regret to report that long term MTY Food Group Inc. (TSE:MTY) shareholders have had that experience, with the share price dropping 13% in three years, versus a market return of about 43%. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 12% in the last three months. This could be related to the recent financial results - you can catch up on the most recent data by reading our company report.

After losing 6.9% this past week, it's worth investigating the company's fundamentals to see what we can infer from past performance.

Check out our latest analysis for MTY Food Group

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

During five years of share price growth, MTY Food Group moved from a loss to profitability. That would generally be considered a positive, so we are surprised to see the share price is down. So given the share price is down it's worth checking some other metrics too.

With a rather small yield of just 1.6% we doubt that the stock's share price is based on its dividend. We note that, in three years, revenue has actually grown at a 5.4% annual rate, so that doesn't seem to be a reason to sell shares. It's probably worth investigating MTY Food Group further; while we may be missing something on this analysis, there might also be an opportunity.

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
TSX:MTY Earnings and Revenue Growth February 23rd 2022

We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. This free report showing analyst forecasts should help you form a view on MTY Food Group

A Different Perspective

MTY Food Group shareholders gained a total return of 4.1% during the year. But that was short of the market average. On the bright side, that's still a gain, and it's actually better than the average return of 0.7% over half a decade This could indicate that the company is winning over new investors, as it pursues its strategy. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Take risks, for example - MTY Food Group has 3 warning signs (and 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) we think you should know about.

We will like MTY Food Group better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on CA exchanges.

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