CAE Past Earnings Performance
Past criteria checks 2/6
CAE has been growing earnings at an average annual rate of 12.4%, while the Aerospace & Defense industry saw earnings growing at 20.7% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 9.6% per year. CAE's return on equity is 6%, and it has net margins of 6.4%.
Key information
12.43%
Earnings growth rate
11.71%
EPS growth rate
| Aerospace & Defense Industry Growth | -1.97% |
| Revenue growth rate | 9.63% |
| Return on equity | 5.99% |
| Net Margin | 6.37% |
| Last Earnings Update | 31 Mar 2026 |
Recent past performance updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • Jun 26
CAE: Transformation Costs And Margin Pressure Will Keep Shares In Penalty Box
Analysts have adjusted the fair value estimate for CAE to CA$29.89 from CA$32.65, reflecting lower modeled revenue growth and slightly softer profit margins, even as some recent price target revisions cite ongoing transformation costs and a mixed read-through from management meetings. Analyst Commentary Recent research on CAE shows a split view, but the more cautious voices are focused on execution risk in the transformation plan, near term earnings pressure, and where the stock trades relative to peers.
Narrative Update • May 17
CAE: Defense Industrial Strategy Will Support Future Simulation And Training Demand
Analysts have made a small downward adjustment to the CAE fair value estimate to about CA$46.86, reflecting a mix of recent price target cuts and raises as they weigh the company’s position in global simulation and training markets and the potential impact of Canada’s new Defense Industrial Strategy. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on CAE reflects a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms adjusting price targets and ratings as they reassess the company’s execution in civil and defense markets and the potential implications of Canada’s new Defense Industrial Strategy.Narrative Update • Apr 26
CAE: Defense Industrial Strategy And Submarine Pact Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts have modestly reduced the fair value estimate for CAE to CA$47.00 from about CA$47.71, as a mix of recent price target increases and decreases incorporates slightly lower revenue growth assumptions, a higher discount rate, stronger profit margin expectations, and a lower future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Street research on CAE over the recent period has been mixed, with some analysts lifting targets and ratings while others trim expectations and highlight execution risks.Narrative Update • Apr 12
CAE: Defense Industrial Strategy And Submarine Pact Will Support Multi Year Upside
Analysts made a modest adjustment to the price target on CAE, reflecting mixed recent research. Some firms lifted targets into the CA$49 to CA$56 range, citing its global simulation and training footprint and expected benefits from Canada's Defense Industrial Strategy.Narrative Update • Mar 28
CAE: Defense Industrial Strategy Will Support Multi Year Simulation And Training Upside
CAE’s updated analyst price target series now reflects a modest fair value increase to CA$47.71, as analysts balance mixed target revisions with views that its global simulation and training footprint, large installed base, and expected multi-year defense and civil aviation opportunities support a slightly higher assumed future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research on CAE reflects a mix of optimism about the company’s role in global simulation and training, alongside caution around execution risks and capital allocation.Narrative Update • Mar 11
CAE: Defense Industrial Strategy Could Reshape Simulation And Training Upside
The analyst price target for CAE has been nudged higher, from CA$46.54 to CA$47.00, as analysts factor in recent research pointing to its role as a pure-play simulation and training provider and a multi year opportunity tied to Canada's new Defense Industrial Strategy, alongside mixed but generally supportive target revisions across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on CAE shows a mix of optimism around its pure-play positioning in simulation and training, balanced against questions about execution and portfolio changes.Narrative Update • Feb 25
CAE: Training Contracts And Portfolio Shift Will Shape Future Upside Potential
The analyst price target for CAE has been adjusted modestly lower to reflect a slightly reduced fair value estimate of CA$46.54. Analysts attribute this to softer revenue growth and margin assumptions, a higher discount rate, and mixed recent target moves across firms, including cuts at Jefferies, Canaccord, and Scotiabank, alongside a smaller increase from TD Securities.Narrative Update • Feb 10
CAE: Mixed Execution And Training Contracts Will Shape Measured Long-Term Returns
We are nudging our CAE fair value estimate slightly higher to $47.15 from $46.85, reflecting analysts' updated price targets and rationales that balance more conservative revenue growth assumptions with higher profit margin expectations and a modestly lower future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on CAE reflects a mix of optimism on the company’s long term positioning and some caution around execution and valuation, which together inform our updated fair value estimate.Narrative Update • Jan 27
CAE: Future Training Contracts And Mixed Execution Will Shape Balanced Long-Term Returns
The updated analyst price target for CAE rises by about $2.40, reflecting more supportive Street research that includes higher targets from several firms and slightly stronger modeled profitability and P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on CAE has focused on where the share price could settle relative to updated profit assumptions and P/E inputs, with several firms revisiting their targets over the past few months.Narrative Update • Jan 12
CAE: Future Training Contracts And Mixed Execution Will Support Balanced Long-Term Returns
Analysts have slightly raised their blended price target on CAE to about C$44.50, reflecting mixed Street revisions between C$40 and C$46. These changes align with small adjustments to fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions.Narrative Update • Dec 27
CAE: Future Training Contracts And Execution Will Support Balanced Long-Term Returns
Our updated analyst price target for CAE reflects a modest upward revision, balancing RBC's slight cut to C$40 with TD Securities' increase to C$46, as analysts weigh steady growth expectations against valuation and execution risks. Analyst Commentary Recent revisions to price targets for CAE highlight a nuanced but generally constructive outlook, with analysts balancing solid long term growth prospects against near term execution and valuation concerns.Analysis Article • Dec 25
CAE's (TSE:CAE) Returns Have Hit A Wall
If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. One common approach is to try and...Narrative Update • Dec 13
CAE: Future Training Contracts And Margin Execution Will Drive Balanced Long-Term Returns
The analyst price target for CAE has inched higher to approximately C$44 from about C$43.50, as analysts factor in slightly stronger long term profitability and a modestly higher earnings multiple, despite mixed recent target revisions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary on CAE reflects a divided view on the company’s near term risk reward, even as the consensus price target edges higher.Narrative Update • Nov 28
CAE: Sector Momentum And Margin Improvement Will Drive Long-Term Share Gains
Analysts have slightly increased their average price target for CAE, raising it from approximately $43.31 to $43.54. They cite improved revenue growth projections and stronger expected profit margins as the reasons for this adjustment.Narrative Update • Nov 14
CAE: Revenue Acceleration Will Drive Shares Higher Amid Margin Pressures
Analysts have modestly increased their price target for CAE from approximately $42.67 to $43.31, citing improved revenue growth outlook despite some ongoing margin pressures. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts have increased their price targets, reflecting growing confidence in CAE's revenue growth outlook and operational execution.Analysis Article • Oct 12
Is There An Opportunity With CAE Inc.'s (TSE:CAE) 23% Undervaluation?
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, CAE fair value estimate is CA$49.61 CAE is estimated to be 23...Analysis Article • Sep 10
CAE Inc.'s (TSE:CAE) Price Is Out Of Tune With Revenues
It's not a stretch to say that CAE Inc.'s ( TSE:CAE ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.5x right now seems quite...Narrative Update • Sep 04
Global Digital Simulation Advances Will Expand Air And Defense Training
Analysts maintain a positive outlook on CAE, citing its dominant market position, exposure to industry growth and defense spending tailwinds, lower tariff risks, and relative undervaluation, resulting in the consensus price target holding steady at CA$42.67. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite CAE's strong position as a dominant player in a fragmented market and as a critical "toll booth" in aviation, implying a sustainable competitive advantage.Analysis Article • Aug 06
CAE (TSE:CAE) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly
TSX:CAE 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore CAE's Fair Values from the Community and select yours David Iben put...
New Narrative • Nov 29
Calculated Investments And Restructuring Propel Aerospace Growth Amid Industry Challenges
Strong order backlog and strategic investments signal robust future revenue growth and improved earnings, benefiting from high demand for training services.Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
How CAE makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.
Earnings and Revenue History
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar 26 | 4,914 | 313 | 624 | 144 |
| 31 Dec 25 | 4,863 | 376 | 601 | 121 |
| 30 Sep 25 | 4,834 | 436 | 579 | 124 |
| 30 Jun 25 | 4,734 | 414 | 558 | 124 |
| 31 Mar 25 | 4,708 | 405 | 547 | 123 |
| 31 Dec 24 | 4,559 | -235 | 538 | 144 |
| 30 Sep 24 | 4,430 | -345 | 539 | 153 |
| 30 Jun 24 | 4,343 | -342 | 545 | 149 |
| 31 Mar 24 | 4,283 | -325 | 535 | 150 |
| 31 Dec 23 | 4,354 | 273 | 533 | 146 |
| 30 Sep 23 | 4,229 | 291 | 517 | 135 |
| 30 Jun 23 | 4,089 | 284 | 483 | 125 |
| 31 Mar 23 | 4,011 | 221 | 505 | 129 |
| 31 Dec 22 | 3,768 | 182 | 515 | 126 |
| 30 Sep 22 | 3,647 | 132 | 509 | 131 |
| 30 Jun 22 | 3,552 | 97 | 533 | 138 |
| 31 Mar 22 | 3,371 | 142 | 494 | 121 |
| 31 Dec 21 | 3,311 | 106 | 463 | 108 |
| 30 Sep 21 | 3,294 | 129 | 451 | 113 |
| 30 Jun 21 | 3,184 | 110 | 417 | 108 |
| 31 Mar 21 | 2,982 | -47 | 405 | 105 |
| 31 Dec 20 | 3,065 | 11 | 402 | 118 |
| 30 Sep 20 | 3,156 | 60 | 414 | 116 |
| 30 Jun 20 | 3,348 | 139 | 424 | 126 |
| 31 Mar 20 | 3,623 | 311 | 443 | 138 |
| 31 Dec 19 | 3,668 | 355 | 458 | 111 |
| 30 Sep 19 | 3,561 | 335 | 442 | 109 |
| 30 Jun 19 | 3,408 | 322 | 432 | 102 |
| 31 Mar 19 | 3,304 | 330 | 421 | 101 |
| 31 Dec 18 | 3,003 | 290 | 410 | 114 |
| 30 Sep 18 | 3,015 | 356 | 407 | 113 |
| 30 Jun 18 | 2,889 | 356 | 394 | 114 |
| 31 Mar 18 | 2,824 | 346 | 386 | 115 |
| 31 Dec 17 | 2,837 | 331 | 383 | 123 |
| 30 Sep 17 | 2,692 | 255 | 374 | 122 |
| 30 Jun 17 | 2,709 | 243 | 384 | 118 |
| 31 Mar 17 | 2,705 | 252 | 370 | 111 |
| 31 Dec 16 | 2,692 | 246 | 349 | 106 |
| 30 Sep 16 | 2,626 | 236 | 341 | 97 |
| 30 Jun 16 | 2,607 | 263 | 326 | 92 |
| 31 Mar 16 | 2,513 | 239 | 317 | 88 |
| 31 Dec 15 | 2,422 | 241 | 297 | 81 |
| 30 Sep 15 | 2,365 | 236 | 286 | 74 |
Quality Earnings: CAE has high quality earnings.
Growing Profit Margin: CAE's current net profit margins (6.4%) are lower than last year (8.6%).
Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: CAE has become profitable over the past 5 years, growing earnings by 12.4% per year.
Accelerating Growth: CAE's has had negative earnings growth over the past year, so it can't be compared to its 5-year average.
Earnings vs Industry: CAE had negative earnings growth (-22.7%) over the past year, making it difficult to compare to the Aerospace & Defense industry average (21.3%).
Return on Equity
High ROE: CAE's Return on Equity (6%) is considered low.
Return on Assets
Return on Capital Employed
Discover strong past performing companies
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/07/06 23:52 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/07/06 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
|
|
| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
| |
| Management | 10 years |
| |
| Key Developments | 10 years |
|
* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
CAE Inc. is covered by 23 analysts. 13 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Will Chien | Accountability Research Corporation |
| Christopher Murray | ATB Cormark |
| David Newman | ATB Cormark Historical (Cormark Securities) |