Stock Analysis

At CA$31.55, Is It Time To Put Badger Daylighting Ltd. (TSE:BAD) On Your Watch List?

Badger Daylighting Ltd. (TSE:BAD), which is in the construction business, and is based in Canada, saw significant share price movement during recent months on the TSX, rising to highs of CA$37.14 and falling to the lows of CA$31.40. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Badger Daylighting's current trading price of CA$31.55 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Badger Daylighting’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

View our latest analysis for Badger Daylighting

Is Badger Daylighting still cheap?

According to my valuation model, the stock is currently overvalued by about 41%, trading at CA$31.55 compared to my intrinsic value of CA$22.36. This means that the buying opportunity has probably disappeared for now. Another thing to keep in mind is that Badger Daylighting’s share price is quite stable relative to the market, as indicated by its low beta. This means that if you believe the current share price should move towards its intrinsic value over time, a low beta could suggest it is not likely to reach that level anytime soon, and once it’s there, it may be hard to fall back down into an attractive buying range again.

What does the future of Badger Daylighting look like?

TSX:BAD Past and Future Earnings, March 3rd 2020
TSX:BAD Past and Future Earnings, March 3rd 2020

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. Badger Daylighting’s earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 25%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has well and truly priced in BAD’s positive outlook, with shares trading above its fair value. However, this brings up another question – is now the right time to sell? If you believe BAD should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on BAD for some time, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its true value, which means there’s no upside from mispricing. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for BAD, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on Badger Daylighting. You can find everything you need to know about Badger Daylighting in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in Badger Daylighting, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.

About TSX:BDGI

Badger Infrastructure Solutions

Provides non-destructive excavating and related services in Canada and the United States.

Outstanding track record with high growth potential.

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