Stock Analysis

Will Laurentian Bank’s (TSX:LB) Rate Cut Strategy Drive Lending Growth or Pressure Margins?

  • Laurentian Bank of Canada recently reduced its base and prime lending rates by 25 basis points for both CAD and USD products, effective October 30, 2025, aiming to adjust its monetary policy in response to current market conditions.
  • This shift is designed to make borrowing more accessible and could boost the bank’s competitive appeal for retail and commercial customers across Canada and the United States.
  • We'll assess how Laurentian Bank's interest rate reductions might influence its investment narrative, especially in terms of lending activity and profitability.

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Laurentian Bank of Canada Investment Narrative Recap

To see Laurentian Bank of Canada as an attractive investment, you need to believe in its transition toward more efficient, tech-driven operations and its potential for higher-margin commercial lending. The recent 25 basis point rate cut may support near-term loan growth, but it does not materially change the main short-term catalyst of operational efficiency gains, nor does it offset the biggest current risk, sustained high expense levels that continue to pressure profitability and margins.

Among recent developments, the Q3 2025 earnings report stands out, showing growth in net interest income and net income year-over-year. This supports the catalyst that an increase in lending activity, possibly spurred by lower rates, could contribute to improved financial results if cost control measures begin to take hold. However, investors should be aware that…

Read the full narrative on Laurentian Bank of Canada (it's free!)

Laurentian Bank of Canada’s outlook anticipates revenues reaching CA$1.1 billion and earnings of CA$157.8 million by 2028. This is based on an assumed annual revenue growth rate of 4.9% and an earnings increase of approximately CA$23.1 million from current earnings of CA$134.7 million.

Uncover how Laurentian Bank of Canada's forecasts yield a CA$29.89 fair value, a 11% downside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

TSX:LB Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025
TSX:LB Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025

Simply Wall St Community members provided four fair value estimates ranging from CA$29.89 to CA$56.90 per share, reflecting wide differences in outlooks. While opinions vary, many see the continued high efficiency ratio as a key factor influencing Laurentian Bank’s profit potential over the medium term, consider reviewing these alternative viewpoints for a fuller picture.

Explore 4 other fair value estimates on Laurentian Bank of Canada - why the stock might be worth as much as 69% more than the current price!

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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