Laurentian Bank of Canada (TSE:LB) has announced that it will pay a dividend of CA$0.47 per share on the 1st of May. This means the annual payment is 7.1% of the current stock price, which is above the average for the industry.
View our latest analysis for Laurentian Bank of Canada
Laurentian Bank of Canada's Distributions May Be Difficult To Sustain
Impressive dividend yields are good, but this doesn't matter much if the payments can't be sustained.
Laurentian Bank of Canada has a long history of paying out dividends, with its current track record at a minimum of 10 years. Past distributions unfortunately do not guarantee future ones, and Laurentian Bank of Canada's last earnings report actually showed that the company went over its net earnings in its total dividend distribution. This is an alarming sign that could mean that Laurentian Bank of Canada's dividend at its current rate may no longer be sustainable for longer.
Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 68.1%. The company seems to be going down the right path, but it will take a little bit longer than a year to cross over into profitability. Unless this can be done in short order, the dividend might be difficult to sustain.
Dividend Volatility
The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least one cut in the last 10 years. Since 2015, the dividend has gone from CA$2.04 total annually to CA$1.88. Payments have been decreasing at a very slow pace in this time period. Declining dividends isn't generally what we look for as they can indicate that the company is running into some challenges.
Dividend Growth Potential Is Shaky
Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. Laurentian Bank of Canada's earnings per share has shrunk at 16% a year over the past five years. A sharp decline in earnings per share is not great from from a dividend perspective. Even conservative payout ratios can come under pressure if earnings fall far enough. It's not all bad news though, as the earnings are predicted to rise over the next 12 months - we would just be a bit cautious until this becomes a long term trend.
Laurentian Bank of Canada's Dividend Doesn't Look Great
In summary, while it is good to see that the dividend hasn't been cut, we think that at current levels the payment isn't particularly sustainable. The company isn't making enough to be paying as much as it is, and the other factors don't look particularly promising either. Overall, this doesn't get us very excited from an income standpoint.
Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 1 warning sign for Laurentian Bank of Canada that investors need to be conscious of moving forward. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSX:LB
Laurentian Bank of Canada
Provides various financial services to personal, business, and institutional customers in Canada and the United States.
Good value with adequate balance sheet.