Stock Analysis

Is Rede Energia Participações (BVMF:REDE3) Using Too Much Debt?

BOVESPA:REDE3
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Rede Energia Participações S.A. (BVMF:REDE3) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Rede Energia Participações

How Much Debt Does Rede Energia Participações Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2023, Rede Energia Participações had R$12.2b of debt, up from R$10.9b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of R$1.82b, its net debt is less, at about R$10.4b.

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BOVESPA:REDE3 Debt to Equity History January 4th 2024

How Healthy Is Rede Energia Participações' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Rede Energia Participações had liabilities of R$6.63b due within 12 months and liabilities of R$14.0b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of R$1.82b as well as receivables valued at R$4.82b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by R$14.0b.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of R$14.6b. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Rede Energia Participações has net debt worth 2.4 times EBITDA, which isn't too much, but its interest cover looks a bit on the low side, with EBIT at only 4.9 times the interest expense. While that doesn't worry us too much, it does suggest the interest payments are somewhat of a burden. One way Rede Energia Participações could vanquish its debt would be if it stops borrowing more but continues to grow EBIT at around 10%, as it did over the last year. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Rede Energia Participações will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. In the last three years, Rede Energia Participações's free cash flow amounted to 29% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

Rede Energia Participações's level of total liabilities was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered cast it in a significantly better light. For example, its EBIT growth rate is relatively strong. We should also note that Electric Utilities industry companies like Rede Energia Participações commonly do use debt without problems. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that Rede Energia Participações is taking some risks with its use of debt. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Rede Energia Participações (1 is a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.