Stock Analysis

Omega Energia (BVMF:MEGA3) Might Be Having Difficulty Using Its Capital Effectively

BOVESPA:SRNA3
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Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key financial metrics. Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think Omega Energia (BVMF:MEGA3) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.

What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Omega Energia:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.04 = R$560m ÷ (R$17b - R$2.8b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2023).

Therefore, Omega Energia has an ROCE of 4.0%. On its own that's a low return on capital but it's in line with the industry's average returns of 3.7%.

Check out our latest analysis for Omega Energia

roce
BOVESPA:MEGA3 Return on Capital Employed June 10th 2023

In the above chart we have measured Omega Energia's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.

SWOT Analysis for Omega Energia

Strength
  • No major strengths identified for MEGA3.
Weakness
  • Earnings declined over the past year.
  • Interest payments on debt are not well covered.
  • Shareholders have been diluted in the past year.
Opportunity
  • Annual earnings are forecast to grow faster than the Brazilian market.
  • Trading below our estimate of fair value by more than 20%.
Threat
  • Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow.
  • Annual revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years.

How Are Returns Trending?

On the surface, the trend of ROCE at Omega Energia doesn't inspire confidence. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 5.0%, but since then they've fallen to 4.0%. However, given capital employed and revenue have both increased it appears that the business is currently pursuing growth, at the consequence of short term returns. If these investments prove successful, this can bode very well for long term stock performance.

Our Take On Omega Energia's ROCE

In summary, despite lower returns in the short term, we're encouraged to see that Omega Energia is reinvesting for growth and has higher sales as a result. And the stock has followed suit returning a meaningful 54% to shareholders over the last five years. So while the underlying trends could already be accounted for by investors, we still think this stock is worth looking into further.

Omega Energia does have some risks, we noticed 4 warning signs (and 2 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about.

If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.