Stock Analysis

Why Energisa S.A. (BVMF:ENGI3) Could Be Worth Watching

BOVESPA:ENGI3
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Energisa S.A. (BVMF:ENGI3), is not the largest company out there, but it saw significant share price movement during recent months on the BOVESPA, rising to highs of R$18.75 and falling to the lows of R$14.58. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Energisa's current trading price of R$15.67 reflective of the actual value of the mid-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Energisa’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

View our latest analysis for Energisa

What is Energisa worth?

Good news, investors! Energisa is still a bargain right now. My valuation model shows that the intrinsic value for the stock is R$24.29, but it is currently trading at R$15.67 on the share market, meaning that there is still an opportunity to buy now. However, given that Energisa’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us another chance to buy in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.

Can we expect growth from Energisa?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
BOVESPA:ENGI3 Earnings and Revenue Growth September 2nd 2021

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. However, with an extremely negative double-digit change in profit expected over the next couple of years, near-term growth is certainly not a driver of a buy decision. It seems like high uncertainty is on the cards for Energisa, at least in the near future.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? Although ENGI3 is currently undervalued, the negative outlook does bring on some uncertainty, which equates to higher risk. I recommend you think about whether you want to increase your portfolio exposure to ENGI3, or whether diversifying into another stock may be a better move for your total risk and return.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on ENGI3 for some time, but hesitant on making the leap, I recommend you research further into the stock. Given its current undervaluation, now is a great time to make a decision. But keep in mind the risks that come with negative growth prospects in the future.

With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. When we did our research, we found 3 warning signs for Energisa (1 is significant!) that we believe deserve your full attention.

If you are no longer interested in Energisa, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

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Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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