- Brazil
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- Water Utilities
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- BOVESPA:CSMG3
Is Companhia de Saneamento de Minas Gerais (BVMF:CSMG3) Using Too Much Debt?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Companhia de Saneamento de Minas Gerais (BVMF:CSMG3) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Companhia de Saneamento de Minas Gerais
How Much Debt Does Companhia de Saneamento de Minas Gerais Carry?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Companhia de Saneamento de Minas Gerais had R$3.74b in debt in March 2022; about the same as the year before. On the flip side, it has R$820.1m in cash leading to net debt of about R$2.92b.
A Look At Companhia de Saneamento de Minas Gerais' Liabilities
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Companhia de Saneamento de Minas Gerais had liabilities of R$1.62b due within 12 months and liabilities of R$3.81b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had R$820.1m in cash and R$1.07b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total R$3.53b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of R$5.07b. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Companhia de Saneamento de Minas Gerais's debt is 2.8 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 3.9 times over. Taken together this implies that, while we wouldn't want to see debt levels rise, we think it can handle its current leverage. Even worse, Companhia de Saneamento de Minas Gerais saw its EBIT tank 34% over the last 12 months. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Companhia de Saneamento de Minas Gerais's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Companhia de Saneamento de Minas Gerais produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 51% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
Our View
Mulling over Companhia de Saneamento de Minas Gerais's attempt at (not) growing its EBIT, we're certainly not enthusiastic. Having said that, its ability to convert EBIT to free cash flow isn't such a worry. We should also note that Water Utilities industry companies like Companhia de Saneamento de Minas Gerais commonly do use debt without problems. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that Companhia de Saneamento de Minas Gerais's debt is making it a bit risky. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but we'd generally feel more comfortable with less leverage. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Companhia de Saneamento de Minas Gerais you should know about.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About BOVESPA:CSMG3
Companhia de Saneamento de Minas Gerais
Plans, designs, performs, expands, remodels, manages, and provides water supply and sewage treatment services in Brazil and internationally.
Fair value with acceptable track record.