Stock Analysis

Is Companhia de Saneamento de Minas Gerais' (BVMF:CSMG3) Stock's Recent Performance Being Led By Its Attractive Financial Prospects?

BOVESPA:CSMG3
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Companhia de Saneamento de Minas Gerais' (BVMF:CSMG3) stock is up by a considerable 11% over the past month. Since the market usually pay for a company’s long-term fundamentals, we decided to study the company’s key performance indicators to see if they could be influencing the market. In this article, we decided to focus on Companhia de Saneamento de Minas Gerais' ROE.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

See our latest analysis for Companhia de Saneamento de Minas Gerais

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Companhia de Saneamento de Minas Gerais is:

16% = R$1.3b ÷ R$7.9b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. So, this means that for every R$1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of R$0.16.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

Companhia de Saneamento de Minas Gerais' Earnings Growth And 16% ROE

On the face of it, Companhia de Saneamento de Minas Gerais' ROE is not much to talk about. However, the fact that the company's ROE is higher than the average industry ROE of 10%, is definitely interesting. This certainly adds some context to Companhia de Saneamento de Minas Gerais' moderate 9.3% net income growth seen over the past five years. Bear in mind, the company does have a moderately low ROE. It is just that the industry ROE is lower. Hence there might be some other aspects that are causing earnings to grow. For example, it is possible that the broader industry is going through a high growth phase, or that the company has a low payout ratio.

When you consider the fact that the industry earnings have shrunk at a rate of 2.9% in the same 5-year period, the company's net income growth is pretty remarkable.

past-earnings-growth
BOVESPA:CSMG3 Past Earnings Growth November 25th 2023

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Has the market priced in the future outlook for CSMG3? You can find out in our latest intrinsic value infographic research report.

Is Companhia de Saneamento de Minas Gerais Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Companhia de Saneamento de Minas Gerais has a three-year median payout ratio of 47%, which implies that it retains the remaining 53% of its profits. This suggests that its dividend is well covered, and given the decent growth seen by the company, it looks like management is reinvesting its earnings efficiently.

Besides, Companhia de Saneamento de Minas Gerais has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more. This shows that the company is committed to sharing profits with its shareholders. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company over the next three years is expected to be approximately 43%. However, Companhia de Saneamento de Minas Gerais' future ROE is expected to decline to 12% despite there being not much change anticipated in the company's payout ratio.

Summary

On the whole, we feel that Companhia de Saneamento de Minas Gerais' performance has been quite good. Particularly, we like that the company is reinvesting heavily into its business at a moderate rate of return. Unsurprisingly, this has led to an impressive earnings growth. That being so, according to the latest industry analyst forecasts, the company's earnings are expected to shrink in the future. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.