Vamos Locação de Caminhões, Máquinas e Equipamentos S.A.

BOVESPA:VAMO3 Stock Report

Market Cap: R$8.2b

Vamos Locação de Caminhões Máquinas e Equipamentos Valuation

Is VAMO3 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of VAMO3 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: VAMO3 (R$7.28) is trading above our estimate of fair value (R$2.84)

Significantly Below Fair Value: VAMO3 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for VAMO3?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

VAMO3 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA6.7x
PEG Ratio0.5x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does VAMO3's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for VAMO3 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average8.9x
9.4x20.6%R$3.4b
TGMA3 Tegma Gestão Logística
9.6xn/aR$1.7b
MRSA3B MRS Logística
7.9xn/aR$9.5b
ECOR3 EcoRodovias Infraestrutura e Logística
8.7x7.9%R$5.2b
VAMO3 Vamos Locação de Caminhões Máquinas e Equipamentos
13.6x28.0%R$8.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: VAMO3 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.6x) compared to the peer average (8.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does VAMO3's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Transportation Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a35.0%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a35.0%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: VAMO3 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.6x) compared to the Global Transportation industry average (15.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is VAMO3's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

VAMO3 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.6x
Fair PE Ratio22x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: VAMO3 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst VAMO3 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentR$7.28
R$14.79
+103.2%
20.9%R$20.00R$9.50n/a10
Apr ’25R$8.28
R$16.30
+96.9%
15.7%R$21.00R$12.50n/a11
Mar ’25R$8.75
R$16.67
+90.5%
14.0%R$21.00R$12.50n/a11
Feb ’25R$8.06
R$17.12
+112.5%
14.1%R$21.00R$12.50n/a11
Jan ’25R$10.07
R$17.40
+72.8%
13.4%R$21.00R$12.50n/a11
Dec ’24R$9.40
R$17.44
+85.6%
13.3%R$21.00R$12.50n/a11
Nov ’24R$7.93
R$17.58
+121.7%
14.4%R$21.00R$11.00n/a11
Oct ’24R$9.75
R$19.24
+97.4%
16.3%R$25.08R$13.50n/a11
Sep ’24R$11.96
R$20.71
+73.2%
11.0%R$25.08R$17.50n/a11
Aug ’24R$12.01
R$20.71
+72.4%
11.0%R$25.08R$17.50n/a11
Jul ’24R$12.11
R$21.04
+73.8%
9.7%R$25.08R$18.00n/a12
Jun ’24R$13.46
R$21.53
+60.0%
8.4%R$25.08R$18.70n/a12
May ’24R$12.22
R$21.76
+78.0%
11.2%R$27.40R$18.00R$7.1114
Apr ’24R$13.35
R$21.71
+62.6%
11.5%R$27.40R$18.00R$8.2814
Mar ’24R$13.43
R$21.48
+59.9%
12.2%R$27.40R$18.00R$8.7514
Feb ’24R$14.73
R$21.01
+42.6%
12.4%R$27.40R$17.00R$8.0613
Jan ’24R$12.64
R$20.66
+63.5%
11.9%R$27.40R$17.00R$10.0713
Dec ’23R$13.02
R$20.29
+55.9%
12.5%R$27.40R$17.00R$9.4013
Nov ’23R$15.90
R$20.22
+27.1%
12.5%R$27.40R$17.00R$7.9313
Oct ’23R$13.67
R$20.05
+46.7%
12.1%R$27.40R$17.00R$9.7513
Sep ’23R$14.68
R$19.09
+30.0%
9.5%R$23.60R$15.00R$11.9612
Aug ’23R$13.21
R$18.92
+43.2%
10.3%R$23.60R$15.00R$12.0112
Jul ’23R$11.67
R$18.64
+59.8%
5.6%R$20.00R$16.50R$12.1110
Jun ’23R$14.88
R$18.49
+24.3%
5.4%R$19.50R$16.50R$13.469
May ’23R$13.66
R$18.38
+34.6%
5.8%R$19.40R$16.00R$12.229

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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