Rumo Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Rumo is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 72.6% and 9.2% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 73.6% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 14.9% in 3 years.

Key information

72.6%

Earnings growth rate

73.6%

EPS growth rate

Transportation earnings growth	54.7%
Revenue growth rate	9.2%
Future return on equity	14.9%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	17 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Analysts Have Made A Financial Statement On Rumo S.A.'s (BVMF:RAIL3) Second-Quarter Report

Aug 17

Rumo S.A. (BVMF:RAIL3) Just Released Its First-Quarter Results And Analysts Are Updating Their Estimates

May 11

Recent updates

Analysts Have Made A Financial Statement On Rumo S.A.'s (BVMF:RAIL3) Second-Quarter Report

Aug 17

Return Trends At Rumo (BVMF:RAIL3) Aren't Appealing

Jul 30

Earnings Tell The Story For Rumo S.A. (BVMF:RAIL3)

Jun 21

Rumo S.A. (BVMF:RAIL3) Just Released Its First-Quarter Results And Analysts Are Updating Their Estimates

May 11

Here's Why We Think Rumo (BVMF:RAIL3) Might Deserve Your Attention Today

May 06

Rumo's (BVMF:RAIL3) Strong Earnings Are Of Good Quality

Apr 03

Rumo (BVMF:RAIL3) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

Mar 22

Rumo (BVMF:RAIL3) Has Some Way To Go To Become A Multi-Bagger

Feb 15

Rumo S.A.'s (BVMF:RAIL3) Business Is Yet to Catch Up With Its Share Price

Jan 08

These 4 Measures Indicate That Rumo (BVMF:RAIL3) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

Dec 21

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

BOVESPA:RAIL3 - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (BRL Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	16,513	3,633	1,785	5,974	12
12/31/2025	14,916	2,889	2,380	6,079	13
12/31/2024	13,716	2,215	-2,136	4,337	12
9/30/2024	13,089	-696	2,204	7,036	N/A
6/30/2024	12,512	-896	2,378	6,590	N/A
3/31/2024	11,700	1,015	2,196	5,925	N/A
12/31/2023	10,938	720	1,761	5,451	N/A
9/30/2023	10,542	962	2,054	5,263	N/A
6/30/2023	10,317	788	2,065	5,033	N/A
3/31/2023	10,019	655	1,793	4,747	N/A
12/31/2022	9,842	515	2,113	4,831	N/A
9/30/2022	9,134	-111	2,070	4,748	N/A
6/30/2022	8,149	-367	1,180	4,026	N/A
3/31/2022	7,900	-88	724	3,932	N/A
12/31/2021	7,440	151	-113	3,340	N/A
9/30/2021	7,589	536	-555	3,195	N/A
6/30/2021	7,676	650	-60	3,614	N/A
3/31/2021	7,289	742	-45	3,310	N/A
12/31/2020	6,966	297	-73	2,906	N/A
9/30/2020	6,968	496	649	3,196	N/A
6/30/2020	6,976	699	930	3,175	N/A
3/31/2020	6,876	479	1,067	3,028	N/A
12/31/2019	7,088	778	1,582	3,525	N/A
9/30/2019	7,070	711	1,441	3,240	N/A
6/30/2019	6,887	570	1,084	3,022	N/A
3/31/2019	6,823	350	868	2,924	N/A
12/31/2018	6,585	264	708	2,705	N/A
9/30/2018	6,530	75	394	2,592	N/A
6/30/2018	6,302	-75	N/A	2,325	N/A
3/31/2018	6,144	-71	N/A	2,067	N/A
12/31/2017	5,946	-261	N/A	2,311	N/A
9/30/2017	5,230	-619	N/A	1,649	N/A
6/30/2017	4,802	-884	N/A	1,550	N/A
3/31/2017	4,492	-1,037	N/A	1,432	N/A
12/31/2016	4,312	-1,063	N/A	1,213	N/A
9/30/2016	4,487	-994	N/A	1,591	N/A
6/30/2016	4,418	-968	N/A	1,394	N/A
3/31/2016	4,325	-1,221	N/A	1,536	N/A
12/31/2015	4,149	-1,177	N/A	1,339	N/A
9/30/2015	3,910	-2,800	N/A	-45	N/A
6/30/2015	3,708	-2,631	N/A	287	N/A
3/31/2015	3,644	-2,129	N/A	392	N/A
12/31/2014	3,666	-1,887	N/A	378	N/A
9/30/2014	3,474	60	N/A	1,956	N/A
6/30/2014	3,467	163	N/A	1,515	N/A
3/31/2014	3,463	173	N/A	1,012	N/A
12/31/2013	3,436	209	N/A	1,001	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: RAIL3 is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (10.4%).

Earnings vs Market: RAIL3 is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: RAIL3 is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: RAIL3's revenue (9.2% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the BR market (7.8% per year).

High Growth Revenue: RAIL3's revenue (9.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: RAIL3's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (14.9%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/18 09:31
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/18 00:00
Earnings	2024/09/30
Annual Earnings	2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Rumo S.A. is covered by 32 analysts. 13 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Mauro Suarez	Alliance Global Partners
Daniel Spilberg	Barclays
Rogerio Araujo	BofA Global Research

Rumo Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Analysts Have Made A Financial Statement On Rumo S.A.'s (BVMF:RAIL3) Second-Quarter Report

Rumo S.A. (BVMF:RAIL3) Just Released Its First-Quarter Results And Analysts Are Updating Their Estimates

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 22%

Consensus forecasts updated

Consensus EPS estimates fall to R$0.30

Consensus forecasts updated

Recent updates

Returns At Rumo (BVMF:RAIL3) Are On The Way Up

Third quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop

Rumo S.A.'s (BVMF:RAIL3) Shareholders Might Be Looking For Exit

Here's Why Rumo (BVMF:RAIL3) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Analysts Have Made A Financial Statement On Rumo S.A.'s (BVMF:RAIL3) Second-Quarter Report

Second quarter 2024 earnings released: R$0.94 loss per share (vs R$0.09 profit in 2Q 2023)

Return Trends At Rumo (BVMF:RAIL3) Aren't Appealing

Earnings Tell The Story For Rumo S.A. (BVMF:RAIL3)

Rumo S.A. (BVMF:RAIL3) Just Released Its First-Quarter Results And Analysts Are Updating Their Estimates

First quarter 2024 earnings released

Here's Why We Think Rumo (BVMF:RAIL3) Might Deserve Your Attention Today

Rumo's (BVMF:RAIL3) Strong Earnings Are Of Good Quality

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

Rumo (BVMF:RAIL3) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

Rumo (BVMF:RAIL3) Has Some Way To Go To Become A Multi-Bagger

Rumo S.A. to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Aug 08, 2024

Rumo S.A., Annual General Meeting, Apr 19, 2024

Rumo S.A.'s (BVMF:RAIL3) Business Is Yet to Catch Up With Its Share Price

These 4 Measures Indicate That Rumo (BVMF:RAIL3) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 22%

Third quarter 2023 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

Second quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: R$0.09 (vs R$0.018 in 2Q 2022)

First quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: R$0.04 (vs R$0.036 loss in 1Q 2022)

Full year 2022 earnings: Revenues in line with analyst expectations

Rumo S.A. to Report Q4, 2022 Results on Feb 15, 2023

Rumo S.A. to Report Q2, 2023 Results on Aug 13, 2023

Less than half of directors are independent

Corredor Logística e Infraestrutura Sul completed the acquisition of 80% stake in Elevacoes Portuarias S.A from Rumo S.A. (BOVESPA:RAIL3).

Third quarter 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Rumo S.A. to Report Q3, 2022 Results on Nov 10, 2022

Second quarter 2022 earnings: Revenues exceed analyst expectations

Rumo S.A. to Report Q2, 2022 Results on Aug 11, 2022

Corredor Logística e Infraestrutura Sul agreed to acquire 80% stake in Elevacoes Portuarias S.A from Rumo S.A. (BOVESPA:RAIL3) for approximately BRL 1.4 billion.

First quarter 2022 earnings: Revenues miss analyst expectations

Less than half of directors are independent

Rumo S.A. to Report Q1, 2022 Results on May 05, 2022

Full year 2021 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Rumo S.A. to Report Q4, 2021 Results on Feb 17, 2022

Consensus forecasts updated

Consensus EPS estimates fall to R$0.30

Third quarter 2021 earnings released

Consensus forecasts updated

First quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS R$0.094 (vs R$0.17 loss in 1Q 2020)

Independent Director has left the company

Analysts update estimates

New 90-day low: R$18.10

Analysts lower EPS estimates to R$0.50

Revenue and earnings miss expectations

Full year 2020 earnings released

New 90-day high: R$21.70

Rumo S.A. to Report Q4, 2020 Results on Feb 11, 2021

New 90-day high: R$20.68

Analysts lower EPS estimates to R$0.40

Revenue and earnings miss expectations

Third quarter 2020 earnings released: EPS R$0.098

New 90-day low: R$17.53

New 90-day low: R$19.89

New 90-day low - R$21.45

Rumo S.A. has completed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of BRL 6.401025 billion.

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Discover growth companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data Sources

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Industry and Sector Metrics