Movida Participações S.A.

BOVESPA:MOVI3 Stock Report

Market Cap: R$3.2b

Movida Participações Valuation

Is MOVI3 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MOVI3 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MOVI3 (R$8.22) is trading above our estimate of fair value (R$4.3)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MOVI3 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MOVI3?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

MOVI3 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA4.7x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does MOVI3's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for MOVI3 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.9x
RENT3 Localiza Rent a Car
2x19.7%R$55.5b
0.4x15.4%R$3.5b
SIMH3 SIMPAR
0.2x1.7%R$6.6b
TGMA3 Tegma Gestão Logística
1.2x6.7%R$1.8b
MOVI3 Movida Participações
0.3x13.9%R$3.2b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: MOVI3 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the peer average (0.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MOVI3's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Transportation Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a36.1%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a36.1%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: MOVI3 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the Global Transportation industry average (0.9x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MOVI3's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MOVI3 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.3x
Fair PS Ratio0.8x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: MOVI3 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MOVI3 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentR$8.22
R$14.83
+80.5%
29.0%R$23.60R$9.40n/a9
Mar ’25R$8.48
R$14.83
+74.9%
29.0%R$23.60R$9.40n/a9
Feb ’25R$9.20
R$15.32
+66.5%
28.0%R$23.60R$7.00n/a9
Jan ’25R$11.89
R$16.02
+34.8%
29.0%R$23.60R$7.00n/a9
Dec ’24R$11.22
R$16.02
+42.8%
29.0%R$23.60R$7.00n/a9
Nov ’24R$8.89
R$16.18
+82.0%
30.4%R$23.60R$7.00n/a9
Oct ’24R$11.88
R$18.91
+59.2%
40.3%R$33.00R$7.00n/a10
Sep ’24R$12.97
R$16.20
+24.9%
50.8%R$33.00R$7.00n/a11
Aug ’24R$11.98
R$15.92
+32.9%
54.4%R$33.00R$6.50n/a10
Jul ’24R$10.53
R$15.97
+51.7%
51.8%R$33.00R$6.50n/a11
Jun ’24R$11.18
R$15.97
+42.9%
51.8%R$33.00R$6.50n/a11
May ’24R$8.61
R$15.50
+80.0%
56.2%R$33.00R$6.50n/a13
Apr ’24R$8.09
R$15.50
+91.6%
56.3%R$33.00R$6.50n/a14
Mar ’24R$6.15
R$15.35
+149.6%
50.6%R$29.50R$6.50R$8.4814
Feb ’24R$7.26
R$17.31
+138.4%
38.1%R$29.50R$6.50R$9.2014
Jan ’24R$7.64
R$19.31
+152.8%
27.7%R$29.50R$11.30R$11.8914
Dec ’23R$8.63
R$21.10
+144.5%
22.4%R$29.50R$11.30R$11.2214
Nov ’23R$13.89
R$22.14
+59.4%
19.2%R$29.50R$16.00R$8.8914
Oct ’23R$12.37
R$22.57
+82.4%
18.8%R$29.50R$16.00R$11.8814
Sep ’23R$14.01
R$23.36
+66.7%
20.3%R$33.00R$16.00R$12.9714
Aug ’23R$13.01
R$23.35
+79.4%
21.4%R$33.00R$15.00R$11.9813
Jul ’23R$13.20
R$25.27
+91.4%
15.9%R$33.00R$19.50R$10.5313
Jun ’23R$18.06
R$24.63
+36.4%
14.0%R$31.50R$19.50R$11.1812
May ’23R$18.15
R$24.54
+35.2%
13.8%R$31.50R$19.50R$8.6112
Apr ’23R$18.18
R$24.29
+33.6%
13.9%R$31.50R$19.50R$8.0912
Mar ’23R$16.33
R$24.27
+48.6%
13.3%R$31.50R$20.00R$6.1513

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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