Stock Analysis

JSL S.A. (BVMF:JSLG3) Shares Fly 25% But Investors Aren't Buying For Growth

BOVESPA:JSLG3
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Despite an already strong run, JSL S.A. (BVMF:JSLG3) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 25% in the last thirty days. The last month tops off a massive increase of 100% in the last year.

Although its price has surged higher, JSL's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 8.8x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in Brazil, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 12x and even P/E's above 20x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

JSL certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings performance might be less impressive moving forward. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

View our latest analysis for JSL

pe-multiple-vs-industry
BOVESPA:JSLG3 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry December 22nd 2023
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on JSL.

Is There Any Growth For JSL?

JSL's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 144% gain to the company's bottom line. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 716% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to slump, contracting by 35% during the coming year according to the six analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the broader market is forecast to expand by 20%, which paints a poor picture.

In light of this, it's understandable that JSL's P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. However, shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.

What We Can Learn From JSL's P/E?

JSL's stock might have been given a solid boost, but its P/E certainly hasn't reached any great heights. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of JSL's analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking earnings is contributing to its low P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for JSL (1 is concerning) you should be aware of.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether JSL is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.