CCR Valuation

Is CCRO3 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CCRO3 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CCRO3 (R$13.82) is trading below our estimate of fair value (R$17.52)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CCRO3 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CCRO3?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

CCRO3 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.8x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA7x
PEG Ratio1.3x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CCRO3's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CCRO3 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average24x
ECOR3 EcoRodovias Infraestrutura e Logística
10.1x8.7%R$5.7b
STBP3 Santos Brasil Participações
22.8x21.3%R$11.8b
RAIL3 Rumo
43.3x25.4%R$40.9b
PORT3 Wilson Sons
19.7x-0.5%R$7.9b
16.3x12.6%R$28.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CCRO3 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.3x) compared to the peer average (27.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CCRO3's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Infrastructure Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a8.9%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a8.9%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CCRO3 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.3x) compared to the Global Infrastructure industry average (14.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CCRO3's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CCRO3 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio16.3x
Fair PE Ratio14.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CCRO3 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CCRO3 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentR$13.82
R$17.21
+24.5%
9.4%R$20.60R$15.00n/a11
Mar ’25R$13.73
R$16.97
+23.6%
10.3%R$20.60R$14.10n/a11
Feb ’25R$13.22
R$16.56
+25.3%
8.5%R$19.00R$14.10n/a10
Jan ’25R$14.18
R$16.29
+14.9%
9.0%R$19.00R$14.00n/a10
Dec ’24R$13.84
R$16.29
+17.7%
9.0%R$19.00R$14.00n/a10
Nov ’24R$12.04
R$16.34
+35.7%
9.4%R$19.00R$14.00n/a10
Oct ’24R$12.89
R$16.22
+25.8%
9.0%R$19.00R$13.80n/a10
Sep ’24R$12.66
R$16.37
+29.3%
11.7%R$20.50R$13.80n/a11
Aug ’24R$13.27
R$16.42
+23.7%
11.5%R$20.50R$13.80n/a11
Jul ’24R$14.05
R$16.28
+15.8%
13.6%R$20.50R$12.70n/a12
Jun ’24R$13.86
R$16.20
+16.9%
14.1%R$20.50R$12.70n/a12
May ’24R$13.57
R$15.86
+16.9%
13.5%R$20.50R$12.70n/a14
Apr ’24R$12.80
R$15.71
+22.7%
13.7%R$20.50R$12.70n/a14
Mar ’24R$10.90
R$15.82
+45.2%
13.2%R$20.50R$12.70R$13.7314
Feb ’24R$11.69
R$15.78
+35.0%
11.5%R$19.30R$12.70R$13.2213
Jan ’24R$10.82
R$16.01
+48.0%
11.2%R$19.30R$12.70R$14.1813
Dec ’23R$11.47
R$16.21
+41.3%
11.3%R$19.30R$12.70R$13.8413
Nov ’23R$13.04
R$16.45
+26.2%
9.7%R$19.30R$12.70R$12.0413
Oct ’23R$12.53
R$16.40
+30.9%
10.1%R$19.30R$12.70R$12.8912
Sep ’23R$13.79
R$16.49
+19.6%
9.9%R$19.30R$12.70R$12.6612
Aug ’23R$12.91
R$16.09
+24.6%
10.4%R$19.30R$12.70R$13.2711
Jul ’23R$12.34
R$15.97
+29.4%
9.3%R$18.00R$12.70R$14.0510
Jun ’23R$13.19
R$16.38
+24.2%
11.8%R$20.50R$12.70R$13.8611
May ’23R$12.41
R$16.51
+33.0%
12.2%R$20.50R$12.70R$13.5711
Apr ’23R$14.24
R$16.28
+14.3%
13.0%R$20.50R$12.70R$12.8011
Mar ’23R$11.76
R$16.78
+42.7%
13.6%R$21.00R$12.70R$10.9013

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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