Stock Analysis

Investors Shouldn't Be Too Comfortable With Desktop's (BVMF:DESK3) Earnings

BOVESPA:DESK3
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Desktop S.A. (BVMF:DESK3) just reported some strong earnings, and the market reacted accordingly with a healthy uplift in the share price. We did some analysis and think that investors are missing some details hidden beneath the profit numbers.

See our latest analysis for Desktop

earnings-and-revenue-history
BOVESPA:DESK3 Earnings and Revenue History March 26th 2024

In order to understand the potential for per share returns, it is essential to consider how much a company is diluting shareholders. In fact, Desktop increased the number of shares on issue by 32% over the last twelve months by issuing new shares. As a result, its net income is now split between a greater number of shares. To talk about net income, without noticing earnings per share, is to be distracted by the big numbers while ignoring the smaller numbers that talk to per share value. Check out Desktop's historical EPS growth by clicking on this link.

A Look At The Impact Of Desktop's Dilution On Its Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Desktop has improved its profit over the last three years, with an annualized gain of 281% in that time. In comparison, earnings per share only gained 102% over the same period. And at a glance the 113% gain in profit over the last year impresses. But in comparison, EPS only increased by 96% over the same period. So you can see that the dilution has had a fairly significant impact on shareholders.

Changes in the share price do tend to reflect changes in earnings per share, in the long run. So Desktop shareholders will want to see that EPS figure continue to increase. But on the other hand, we'd be far less excited to learn profit (but not EPS) was improving. For that reason, you could say that EPS is more important that net income in the long run, assuming the goal is to assess whether a company's share price might grow.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On Desktop's Profit Performance

Desktop shareholders should keep in mind how many new shares it is issuing, because, dilution clearly has the power to severely impact shareholder returns. As a result, we think it may well be the case that Desktop's underlying earnings power is lower than its statutory profit. But the good news is that its EPS growth over the last three years has been very impressive. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Desktop at this point in time. For example, Desktop has 2 warning signs (and 1 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Desktop's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Desktop is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.