Stock Analysis

Desktop (BVMF:DESK3) Is Reinvesting At Lower Rates Of Return

BOVESPA:DESK3
Source: Shutterstock

If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. In a perfect world, we'd like to see a company investing more capital into its business and ideally the returns earned from that capital are also increasing. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. In light of that, when we looked at Desktop (BVMF:DESK3) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.

Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)

For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Desktop:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.10 = R$252m ÷ (R$2.9b - R$421m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2023).

So, Desktop has an ROCE of 10%. On its own, that's a standard return, however it's much better than the 4.8% generated by the Telecom industry.

View our latest analysis for Desktop

roce
BOVESPA:DESK3 Return on Capital Employed June 6th 2023

In the above chart we have measured Desktop's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.

SWOT Analysis for Desktop

Strength
  • Earnings growth over the past year exceeded the industry.
  • Debt is well covered by .
Weakness
  • Interest payments on debt are not well covered.
  • Dividend is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the Telecom market.
  • Shareholders have been diluted in the past year.
Opportunity
  • Annual earnings are forecast to grow faster than the Brazilian market.
  • Good value based on P/E ratio and estimated fair value.
Threat
  • Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow.
  • Revenue is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

What Can We Tell From Desktop's ROCE Trend?

When we looked at the ROCE trend at Desktop, we didn't gain much confidence. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 18% over the last five years. However, given capital employed and revenue have both increased it appears that the business is currently pursuing growth, at the consequence of short term returns. And if the increased capital generates additional returns, the business, and thus shareholders, will benefit in the long run.

On a related note, Desktop has decreased its current liabilities to 15% of total assets. That could partly explain why the ROCE has dropped. Effectively this means their suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of the business, which reduces some elements of risk. Some would claim this reduces the business' efficiency at generating ROCE since it is now funding more of the operations with its own money.

What We Can Learn From Desktop's ROCE

Even though returns on capital have fallen in the short term, we find it promising that revenue and capital employed have both increased for Desktop. Furthermore the stock has climbed 31% over the last year, it would appear that investors are upbeat about the future. So should these growth trends continue, we'd be optimistic on the stock going forward.

Desktop does have some risks, we noticed 4 warning signs (and 2 which are a bit concerning) we think you should know about.

While Desktop may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.