Stock Analysis

Here's Why We Think Positivo Tecnologia (BVMF:POSI3) Is Well Worth Watching

BOVESPA:POSI3
Source: Shutterstock

Investors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks' without any revenue, let alone profit. Sometimes these stories can cloud the minds of investors, leading them to invest with their emotions rather than on the merit of good company fundamentals. Loss making companies can act like a sponge for capital - so investors should be cautious that they're not throwing good money after bad.

In contrast to all that, many investors prefer to focus on companies like Positivo Tecnologia (BVMF:POSI3), which has not only revenues, but also profits. Even if this company is fairly valued by the market, investors would agree that generating consistent profits will continue to provide Positivo Tecnologia with the means to add long-term value to shareholders.

See our latest analysis for Positivo Tecnologia

Positivo Tecnologia's Improving Profits

Positivo Tecnologia has undergone a massive growth in earnings per share over the last three years. So much so that this three year growth rate wouldn't be a fair assessment of the company's future. As a result, we'll zoom in on growth over the last year, instead. Positivo Tecnologia's EPS skyrocketed from R$1.43 to R$2.17, in just one year; a result that's bound to bring a smile to shareholders. That's a commendable gain of 52%.

Top-line growth is a great indicator that growth is sustainable, and combined with a high earnings before interest and taxation (EBIT) margin, it's a great way for a company to maintain a competitive advantage in the market. Positivo Tecnologia shareholders can take confidence from the fact that EBIT margins are up from 8.9% to 13%, and revenue is growing. That's great to see, on both counts.

In the chart below, you can see how the company has grown earnings and revenue, over time. For finer detail, click on the image.

earnings-and-revenue-history
BOVESPA:POSI3 Earnings and Revenue History April 14th 2023

The trick, as an investor, is to find companies that are going to perform well in the future, not just in the past. While crystal balls don't exist, you can check our visualization of consensus analyst forecasts for Positivo Tecnologia's future EPS 100% free.

Are Positivo Tecnologia Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

Many consider high insider ownership to be a strong sign of alignment between the leaders of a company and the ordinary shareholders. So as you can imagine, the fact that Positivo Tecnologia insiders own a significant number of shares certainly is appealing. Actually, with 47% of the company to their names, insiders are profoundly invested in the business. Shareholders and speculators should be reassured by this kind of alignment, as it suggests the business will be run for the benefit of shareholders. In terms of absolute value, insiders have R$523m invested in the business, at the current share price. So there's plenty there to keep them focused!

Is Positivo Tecnologia Worth Keeping An Eye On?

For growth investors, Positivo Tecnologia's raw rate of earnings growth is a beacon in the night. This EPS growth rate is something the company should be proud of, and so it's no surprise that insiders are holding on to a considerable chunk of shares. Fast growth and confident insiders should be enough to warrant further research, so it would seem that it's a good stock to follow. What about risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Positivo Tecnologia (of which 2 are potentially serious!) you should know about.

Although Positivo Tecnologia certainly looks good, it may appeal to more investors if insiders were buying up shares. If you like to see insider buying, then this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying, could be exactly what you're looking for.

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.