Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Padtec Holding S.A. (BVMF:PDTC3) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
What Is Padtec Holding's Net Debt?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Padtec Holding had R$359.8m in debt in September 2025; about the same as the year before. However, it also had R$48.0m in cash, and so its net debt is R$311.8m.
How Strong Is Padtec Holding's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Padtec Holding had liabilities of R$121.6m due within a year, and liabilities of R$384.9m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of R$48.0m as well as receivables valued at R$189.2m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by R$269.3m.
This deficit casts a shadow over the R$109.7m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Padtec Holding would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.
Check out our latest analysis for Padtec Holding
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Weak interest cover of 1.4 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 14.5 hit our confidence in Padtec Holding like a one-two punch to the gut. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. One redeeming factor for Padtec Holding is that it turned last year's EBIT loss into a gain of R$16m, over the last twelve months. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Padtec Holding will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. During the last year, Padtec Holding burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
Our View
To be frank both Padtec Holding's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least its EBIT growth rate is not so bad. After considering the datapoints discussed, we think Padtec Holding has too much debt. That sort of riskiness is ok for some, but it certainly doesn't float our boat. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 4 warning signs we've spotted with Padtec Holding (including 2 which are a bit unpleasant) .
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.